Burgos vs Almería — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 La Liga 2, Spain
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 15:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Burgos hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Almería are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Almería tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while Burgos are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Almería regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Burgos are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Almería regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Burgos see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Almería in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full La Liga 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burgos (th) and Almería (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

La Liga 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 37 21 6 10 75:55 +20 69
2 Almería A 37 20 7 10 74:56 +18 67
3 Deportivo La Coruña 37 18 11 8 57:40 +17 65
4 Castellón 37 18 10 9 64:46 +18 64
5 Las Palmas 37 17 12 8 49:31 +18 63
6 SD Eibar 37 17 10 10 45:32 +13 61
7 Burgos H 37 17 10 10 44:33 +11 61
8 Málaga 37 17 9 11 62:47 +15 60
9 FC Andorra 37 15 10 12 56:47 +9 55
10 Córdoba 37 15 9 13 52:55 -3 54
11 Sporting Gijón 37 15 7 15 50:47 +3 52
12 Ceuta 37 14 9 14 44:57 -13 51
13 Albacete 37 12 11 14 48:51 -3 47
14 Granada 37 11 12 14 47:49 -2 45
15 Real Valladolid 37 11 10 16 40:48 -8 43
16 Leganés 37 10 12 15 40:44 -4 42
17 Real Sociedad II 37 11 8 18 46:54 -8 41
18 Cádiz 37 10 8 19 34:53 -19 38
19 Huesca 37 9 9 19 37:55 -18 36
20 Mirandés 37 9 9 19 40:60 -20 36
21 Real Zaragoza 37 8 11 18 33:50 -17 35
22 Cultural Leonesa 37 8 8 21 33:60 -27 32

Team Form

Burgos hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Almería have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Almería regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Burgos are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Burgos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Almería in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Burgos have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Almería in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Almería frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Burgos are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Burgos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Almería have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Burgos (Home Form) Almería (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined

Burgos vs Almería Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burgos vs Almería?

Over 1.5 Goals — Burgos see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Almería in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Burgos or Almería?

Burgos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in La Liga 2 this season, while Almería have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Burgos and Almería?

Possibly — Almería regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Burgos are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burgos and Almería?

Uncertain — Burgos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 20% of home games, Almería in 60% of away games in La Liga 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burgos or Almería?

Almería have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Burgos's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burgos and Almería?

Possibly — Almería frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Burgos are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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