Buriram United vs BG Pathum United

📍 Thai Premier League, Thailand
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Buriram United sit 1st in the table after 4 games, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. BG Pathum United are 5th after 4 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. Buriram United have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; BG Pathum United have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Buriram United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); BG Pathum United in 0% away (0/10). Buriram United average 2.5 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, BG Pathum United 1.1 and 0.5 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Buriram United have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); BG Pathum United in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Buriram United regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). BG Pathum United are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Buriram United see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, BG Pathum United in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Thai Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Buriram United (1st) and BG Pathum United (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Thai Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Buriram United H 30 22 4 4 76:31 +45 70
2 Port FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 +36 60
3 Ratchaburi Mitrphol FC 30 18 5 7 55:30 +25 59
4 BG Pathum United A 30 14 10 6 45:29 +16 52
5 True Bangkok United 30 13 11 6 43:32 +11 50
6 PT Prachuap FC 30 11 12 7 39:37 +2 45
7 Singha Chiangrai United 30 9 13 8 36:37 -1 40
8 Chonburi FC 30 10 9 11 38:41 -3 39
9 Rayong 30 9 10 11 44:49 -5 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 -16 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 -5 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 -12 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 -19 28
14 SCG Muangthong United 30 6 8 16 27:52 -25 26
15 Nakhonratchasima Mazda FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 -24 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 -25 23

Team Form

Buriram United have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while BG Pathum United have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Buriram United (40% BTTS at home) and BG Pathum United (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Buriram United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, BG Pathum United in 0% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Buriram United have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, BG Pathum United in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Buriram United regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while BG Pathum United are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Buriram United win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

BG Pathum United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Buriram United (Home Form) BG Pathum United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Buriram United and BG Pathum United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24th Sep, 2025
BG Pathum United
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Buriram United
Corners 1–5 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th May, 2025
Buriram United
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 3–6 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2025
BG Pathum United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Buriram United
Corners 4–3 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Apr, 2025
Buriram United
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
BG Pathum United
Corners 8–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Apr, 2025
Buriram United
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 4–3 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Feb, 2025
Buriram United
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Dec, 2024
BG Pathum United
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Buriram United
Corners 3–7 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Apr, 2024
BG Pathum United
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Buriram United
Corners 4–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Oct, 2023
Buriram United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th May, 2023
Buriram United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
BG Pathum United
Corners 5–4 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Buriram United vs BG Pathum United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Buriram United 1.33
Draw 5.9
BG Pathum United 10.5

Half Time Result

Buriram United 1.7
Draw 2.87
BG Pathum United 8.03

Double Chance

Buriram United or Draw 1.08
Buriram United or BG Pathum United 1.14
Draw or BG Pathum United 3.75

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.54
Over 3.5 2.4
Under 1.5 6.2
Under 2.5 2.76
Under 3.5 1.66

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.23

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.39
Over 9.5 1.5
Over 10.5 2.34
Over 11.5 2.46

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.37

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5 1.7
Over 1.5 4.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • North Pine vs AC Carina 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 3 Metro, Australia North Pine have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · AC Carina have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • St. George Saints U20 vs Sydney United U20 07:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia St. George Saints U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Sydney United U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • Souths United vs SWQ Thunder 09:00 BST | Queensland Premier League 2, Australia Souths United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · SWQ Thunder have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Inglewood United Res. vs Quinns Res. 06:00 BST | Western Australia State League 1 Reserves, Australia Inglewood United Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Quinns Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.66
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Buriram United vs BG Pathum United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Buriram United vs BG Pathum United?

Over 1.5 Goals — Buriram United see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, BG Pathum United in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Buriram United or BG Pathum United?

Buriram United have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over BG Pathum United on the road (40% wins) in Thai Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Buriram United and BG Pathum United?

Unlikely — Buriram United (40% BTTS at home) and BG Pathum United (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Thai Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Buriram United and BG Pathum United?

Uncertain — Buriram United have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, BG Pathum United in 0% of away games in Thai Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Buriram United or BG Pathum United?

Buriram United have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to BG Pathum United's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Buriram United and BG Pathum United?

Possibly — Buriram United regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while BG Pathum United are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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