Burnley vs Aston Villa

๐Ÿ“ Premier League, England
๐Ÿ•’ Sunday 10th May, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Burnley sit 19th in the table after 33 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Aston Villa are 5th after 33 games, averaging 1 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Burnley have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Aston Villa have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Burnley have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Aston Villa in 20% away (2/10). Burnley average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded at home, Aston Villa 1 and 1 on the road.

Burnley frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Aston Villa are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) โ€” they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season โ€” Burnley see 8+ in 70% of home games, Aston Villa in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture โ€” browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Todayโ€™s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for todayโ€™s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (19th) and Aston Villa (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 67:26 +41 76
2 Manchester City 34 21 8 5 69:32 +37 71
3 Manchester United 35 18 10 7 63:48 +15 64
4 Liverpool 35 17 7 11 59:47 +12 58
5 Aston Villa A 35 17 7 11 48:44 +4 58
6 AFC Bournemouth 35 12 16 7 55:52 +3 52
7 Brentford 35 14 9 12 52:46 +6 51
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 35 13 11 11 49:42 +7 50
9 Everton 35 13 9 13 44:44 0 48
10 Fulham 35 14 6 15 44:49 -5 48
11 Chelsea 35 13 9 13 54:48 +6 48
12 Sunderland 35 12 11 12 37:46 -9 47
13 Newcastle United 35 13 6 16 49:51 -2 45
14 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 36:42 -6 43
15 Leeds United 35 10 13 12 47:52 -5 43
16 Nottingham Forest 35 11 9 15 44:46 -2 42
17 Tottenham Hotspur 35 9 10 16 45:54 -9 37
18 West Ham United 35 9 9 17 42:61 -19 36
19 Burnley H 35 4 8 23 35:71 -36 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 35 3 9 23 25:63 -38 18

Team Form

Burnley have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Aston Villa have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Aston Villa are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Burnley have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Aston Villa in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Burnley (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Aston Villa (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Aston Villa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and Aston Villa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up โ€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
2 โ€“ 1 HT: 1-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
3 โ€“ 2 HT: 2-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Aug 2023
Burnley
1 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 May 2022
Aston Villa
1 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 May 2022
Burnley
1 โ€“ 3 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jan 2021
Burnley
3 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-1
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Dec 2020
Aston Villa
0 โ€“ 0 HT: 0-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Jan 2020
Burnley
1 โ€“ 2 HT: 0-2
Aston Villa
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2019
Aston Villa
2 โ€“ 2 HT: 1-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 May 2015
Aston Villa
0 โ€“ 1 HT: 0-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burnley vs Aston Villa across a range of markets โ€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change โ€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Burnley 5.7
Draw 4.4
Aston Villa 1.64

Half Time Result

Burnley 5.25
Draw 2.51
Aston Villa 2.16

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw 2.44
Burnley or Aston Villa 1.22
Draw or Aston Villa 1.18

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.8
Over 3.5 2.76
Under 1.5 3.9
Under 2.5 2.2
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.56

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.35
Over 10.5 1.65
Over 11.5 2.05

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.5

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

โšฝ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Gnas vs Lebring 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Steiermark, Austria Gnas have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Lebring have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    79% combined
  • Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Hougang United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    78% combined
  • Bad Waltersdorf vs Fรผrstenfeld 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Steiermark, Austria Bad Waltersdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Fรผrstenfeld have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    75% combined
  • Tillmitsch vs FSC Hochegger Dรคcher 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Steiermark, Austria Tillmitsch have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · FSC Hochegger Dรคcher have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    74% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.67
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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture โ€” browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Burnley or Aston Villa?

Aston Villa hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Burnley at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Burnley and Aston Villa?

Mixed โ€” Burnley have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burnley and Aston Villa?

Uncertain โ€” Burnley have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Aston Villa in 20% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burnley or Aston Villa?

Burnley have the stronger scoring record โ€” 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Aston Villa's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burnley and Aston Villa?

Burnley have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Aston Villa in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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