Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Burnley (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over Brighton & Hove Albion on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Burnley consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Burnley often see both teams score at home (70%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Burnley see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (th) and Brighton & Hove Albion (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 31 21 7 3 61:22 +39 70
2 Manchester City 30 18 7 5 60:28 +32 61
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 31 16 6 9 42:37 +5 54
5 Liverpool 31 14 7 10 50:42 +8 49
6 Chelsea 31 13 9 9 53:38 +15 48
7 Brentford 31 13 7 11 46:42 +4 46
8 Everton 31 13 7 11 37:35 +2 46
9 Fulham 31 13 5 13 43:44 -1 44
10 Sunderland 31 11 10 10 32:36 -4 43
11 Brighton & Hove Albion A 31 11 10 10 41:37 +4 43
12 Newcastle United 31 12 6 13 44:45 -1 42
13 AFC Bournemouth 31 9 15 7 46:48 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 30 10 9 11 33:35 -2 39
15 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
16 Nottingham Forest 31 8 8 15 31:43 -12 32
17 Tottenham Hotspur 31 7 9 15 40:50 -10 30
18 West Ham United 31 7 8 16 36:57 -21 29
19 Burnley H 31 4 8 19 33:61 -28 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 31 3 8 20 24:54 -30 17

Team Form

Burnley have won 10% of home games this season, Brighton & Hove Albion 30% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Burnley frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Brighton & Hove Albion in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Brighton & Hove Albion frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Brighton & Hove Albion have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Jan 2026
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2024
Burnley
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Dec 2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Feb 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Aug 2021
Burnley
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Feb 2021
Burnley
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2020
Brighton & Hove Albion
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jul 2020
Burnley
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2019
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Feb 2019
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Burnley
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Burnley 4.37
Draw 4.1
Brighton & Hove Albion 1.71

Half Time Result

Burnley 4.75
Draw 2.3
Brighton & Hove Albion 2.3

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw 2.05
Burnley or Brighton & Hove Albion 1.28
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion 1.18

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.76
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.1
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.5

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.72

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Debrecen U19 vs Ferencváros U19 11:00 BST | U19 League, Hungary Debrecen U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · Ferencváros U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    78% combined
  • Szeged-Csanád U19 vs Puskás Akadémia U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Hungary Szeged-Csanád U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Puskás Akadémia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    77% combined
  • Atlético Nacional vs Cúcuta Deportivo 02:30 BST | Liga BetPlay, Colombia Atlético Nacional have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Cúcuta Deportivo have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    77% combined
  • Holbæk B&I vs Nykøbing FC 12:00 BST | 3. Division, Denmark Holbæk B&I have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Nykøbing FC have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.71
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Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 1.5 Goals — Burnley see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Burnley or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Burnley at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Possibly — Burnley frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Possibly — Burnley frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Brighton & Hove Albion are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burnley or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Burnley have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Brighton & Hove Albion's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Possibly — Brighton & Hove Albion frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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