Burnley vs Chelsea — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 22nd November, 12:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Chelsea have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Burnley are less dominant at home (1/10, 10%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Chelsea have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 90%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both Burnley and Chelsea frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Burnley have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (17th) and Chelsea (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea A 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley H 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Chelsea have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Burnley have been less dominant at home (10%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Lost 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Chelsea in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Chelsea regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Under Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Chelsea in 60% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goals Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 18 (1.8 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Burnley (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Chelsea (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Chelsea have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Chelsea (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and Chelsea. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30th Mar, 2024
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Burnley
Corners 12–4 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Oct, 2023
Burnley
1 – 4 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
Corners 7–3 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Mar, 2022
Burnley
0 – 4 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
Corners 5–2 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Nov, 2021
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Burnley
Corners 14–2 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jan, 2021
Chelsea
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
Corners 4–2 Cards 0–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2020
Burnley
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
Corners 3–4 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Jan, 2020
Chelsea
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Burnley
Corners 10–3 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Oct, 2019
Burnley
2 – 4 HT: 0-2
Chelsea
Corners 5–6 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Apr, 2019
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Burnley
Corners 10–1 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Oct, 2018
Burnley
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
Corners 4–4 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burnley vs Chelsea across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Burnley 5
Draw 4.3
Chelsea 1.6

Half Time Result

Burnley 5.85
Draw 2.5
Chelsea 2.14

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw 2.5
Burnley or Chelsea 1.2
Draw or Chelsea 1.12

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.22

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.92
Under 1.5 4.9
Under 2.5 2.31
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.61

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.58
Over 10.5 2.28
Over 11.5 2.52

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.9

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.62

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burnley vs Chelsea?

Over 2.5 Goals — Burnley have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Chelsea in 90% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Burnley or Chelsea?

Chelsea arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Premier League this season compared to Burnley's 10% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Burnley and Chelsea?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burnley and Chelsea?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burnley or Chelsea?

Chelsea have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 60% of away games compared to Burnley's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burnley and Chelsea?

Burnley have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Chelsea in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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