Burnley vs Newcastle United Football Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Tuesday 30th December, 19:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Burnley sit 19th in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per home match this season. Newcastle United are 14th after 15 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Burnley have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Newcastle United have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Burnley in 80% of home games, Newcastle United in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Burnley in 60% of home games (6/10), Newcastle United in 70% away (7/10). Burnley have scored in 60% of home fixtures; Newcastle United in 80% of away games.

Burnley regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Newcastle United are lower on the road (50%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Burnley see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (19th) and Newcastle United (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United A 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley H 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Burnley have won 10% of home games this season, Newcastle United 40% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Burnley 80% at home, Newcastle United 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Newcastle United in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 17 (1.7 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Burnley (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Newcastle United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Burnley (Home Form) Newcastle United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and Newcastle United. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Dec 2025
Burnley
1 – 3 HT: 1-2
Newcastle United
06 Dec 2025
Newcastle United
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Burnley
04 May 2024
Burnley
1 – 4 HT: 0-3
Newcastle United
30 Sep 2023
Newcastle United
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
22 May 2022
Burnley
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Newcastle United
04 Dec 2021
Newcastle United
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
25 Aug 2021
Newcastle United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Burnley
11 Apr 2021
Burnley
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Newcastle United
03 Oct 2020
Newcastle United
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Burnley
29 Feb 2020
Newcastle United
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Burnley

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Burnley vs Newcastle United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Burnley 6.2
Draw 4.38
Newcastle United 1.58

Half Time Result

Burnley 6.02
Draw 2.46
Newcastle United 2.16

Double Chance

Burnley or Draw 2.37
Burnley or Newcastle United 1.22
Draw or Newcastle United 1.17

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.08

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 3.5 3.15
Under 1.5 4.44
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.42

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.71

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.19
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.78
Over 11.5 2.02

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.9

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.67

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Burnley vs Newcastle United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Burnley vs Newcastle United?

Over 8.5 Corners — Burnley see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Newcastle United in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Burnley or Newcastle United?

Newcastle United hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Burnley at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Burnley and Newcastle United?

Possibly — Newcastle United regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Burnley and Newcastle United?

Uncertain — Burnley have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Newcastle United in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Burnley or Newcastle United?

Newcastle United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Burnley's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Burnley and Newcastle United?

Yes — both Burnley (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Newcastle United (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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