CA La Paz vs Universidad Guadalajara Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Thursday 5th March, 03:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

CA La Paz sit 7th in the table after 19 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Universidad Guadalajara are 12th after 21 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. CA La Paz have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Universidad Guadalajara have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — CA La Paz in 90% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Universidad Guadalajara regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). CA La Paz are lower at home (50%, 5/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — CA La Paz at 70% at home (7/10), Universidad Guadalajara at 80% away (8/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — CA La Paz see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with CA La Paz (7th) and Universidad Guadalajara (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz H 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara A 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Universidad Guadalajara have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while CA La Paz have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Universidad Guadalajara regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while CA La Paz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (CA La Paz 90% at home, Universidad Guadalajara 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

CA La Paz have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Universidad Guadalajara in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Goal Totals

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both CA La Paz (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Universidad Guadalajara (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

CA La Paz have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Universidad Guadalajara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 70% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

CA La Paz (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between CA La Paz and Universidad Guadalajara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Sep 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Mar 2025
CA La Paz
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 May 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2024
CA La Paz
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Mar 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 4 HT: 0-2
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Aug 2023
CA La Paz
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Feb 2023
Universidad Guadalajara
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
CA La Paz
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jul 2022
CA La Paz
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for CA La Paz vs Universidad Guadalajara across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

CA La Paz 2.22
Draw 3.45
Universidad Guadalajara 3.2

Half Time Result

CA La Paz 2.76
Draw 2.46
Universidad Guadalajara 3.49

Double Chance

CA La Paz or Draw 1.4
CA La Paz or Universidad Guadalajara 1.25
Draw or Universidad Guadalajara 1.62

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.59
No 2.52

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.51
Under 1.5 4.83
Under 2.5 2.34
Under 3.5 1.56

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.38

Total Corners

Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 1.92

CA La Paz Goals

Over 1.5 1.94

Universidad Guadalajara Goals

Over 1.5 2.29

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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CA La Paz vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Universidad Guadalajara?

Over 8.5 Corners — CA La Paz see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, CA La Paz or Universidad Guadalajara?

CA La Paz have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Universidad Guadalajara on the road (20% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between CA La Paz and Universidad Guadalajara?

Possibly — Universidad Guadalajara regularly see both teams score away (70%), while CA La Paz are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between CA La Paz and Universidad Guadalajara?

Uncertain — CA La Paz have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 60% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: CA La Paz or Universidad Guadalajara?

CA La Paz have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Universidad Guadalajara's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between CA La Paz and Universidad Guadalajara?

Yes — both CA La Paz (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Universidad Guadalajara (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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