Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Wales
🕒 Friday 9th January, 19:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Caernarfon Town have won 40% of home games, Connah's Quay 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay have been involved in high-scoring games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Caernarfon Town's home games and 70% of Connah's Quay's away games. Expect an open, high-scoring contest.

Connah's Quay regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Caernarfon Town are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Caernarfon Town usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Connah's Quay are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Caernarfon Town have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Connah's Quay in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Caernarfon Town (4th) and Connah's Quay (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay A 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 32 14 6 12 48:43 +5 48
4 Barry Town United 32 12 10 10 43:33 +10 46
5 Caernarfon Town H 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
6 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 +4 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

Caernarfon Town (40% home wins) and Connah's Quay (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Connah's Quay regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Caernarfon Town are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Caernarfon Town's home games and 70% of Connah's Quay's away games this season. Both sides have consistently featured in high-scoring matches.

Over Goals

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Caernarfon Town have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Connah's Quay in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Caernarfon Town have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Connah's Quay in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Caernarfon Town have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Connah's Quay have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Caernarfon Town (Home Form) Connah's Quay (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

23 Sep 2025
Connah's Quay
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2024
Connah's Quay
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
Caernarfon Town
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Sep 2024
Connah's Quay
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Mar 2024
Caernarfon Town
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2024
Connah's Quay
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2023
Connah's Quay
6 – 1 HT: 5-0
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Oct 2023
Connah's Quay
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Sep 2023
Caernarfon Town
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Nov 2022
Connah's Quay
3 – 3 HT: 0-1
Caernarfon Town
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Caernarfon Town 3.1
Draw 3.4
Connah's Quay 2.05

Half Time Result

Caernarfon Town 3.5
Draw 2.18
Connah's Quay 2.6

Double Chance

Caernarfon Town or Draw 1.66
Caernarfon Town or Connah's Quay 1.29
Draw or Connah's Quay 1.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.56
No 2.25

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 3.92
Under 2.5 2.06
Under 3.5 1.38

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.32

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.24
Over 9.5 1.51
Over 10.5 2.34
Over 11.5 2.47

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.32

Connah's Quay Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.93

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay?

Over 2.5 Goals — Caernarfon Town have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, Connah's Quay in 70% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Caernarfon Town or Connah's Quay?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Caernarfon Town have won 40% of home games, Connah's Quay 40% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay?

Mixed — Caernarfon Town have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Connah's Quay in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay?

Yes, likely — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of Caernarfon Town's home games and 70% of Connah's Quay's away games in Premier League. Both sides consistently feature in high-scoring matches.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Caernarfon Town or Connah's Quay?

Caernarfon Town have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Connah's Quay's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay?

Caernarfon Town have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Connah's Quay in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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