Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 29th March, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Cancún (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Cancún at 40% at home and Tepatitlán de Morelos at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Cancún often see both teams score at home (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Cancún have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Cancún (6th) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 30 16 8 6 41:29 +12 56
2 Atlante 26 13 8 5 51:21 +30 47
3 Cancún H 26 13 7 6 42:23 +19 46
4 Morelia 28 12 8 8 40:33 +7 44
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 29 11 10 8 39:26 +13 43
6 Irapuato 30 10 11 9 49:44 +5 41
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 26 9 10 7 42:42 0 37
8 CA La Paz 24 9 9 6 43:36 +7 36
9 Tapatío 24 9 5 10 42:35 +7 32
10 Universidad Guadalajara 26 8 7 11 31:41 -10 31
11 Tlaxcala 24 7 8 9 26:39 -13 29
12 Venados 24 7 5 12 45:50 -5 26
13 Alebrijes 24 6 7 11 31:48 -17 25
14 Correcaminos UAT 24 5 7 12 26:51 -25 22
15 Dorados 25 2 6 17 20:50 -30 12

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Cancún have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Cancún have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Cancún (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Cancún have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cancún 2.78
Draw 3.25
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.5

Half Time Result

Cancún 3.24
Draw 2.2
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.1

Double Chance

Cancún or Draw 1.41
Cancún or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.27
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.66
No 2.2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 3.5 2.81
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 3.5 1.38

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.59

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.34
Over 10.5 1.96
Over 11.5 2.08

Cancún Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.39

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.25

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Al Rayyan vs Umm-Salal SC 15:30 BST Al Rayyan have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Umm-Salal SC have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    100% combined
  • Polonia Środa Wlkp W vs Czarni Sosnowiec II W 11:00 BST Polonia Środa Wlkp W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Czarni Sosnowiec II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    91% combined
  • Alphense Boys U21 vs Spartaan'20 U21 10:30 BST Alphense Boys U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    90% combined
  • FK Pardubice U19 vs Slovan Liberec U19 13:45 BST FK Pardubice U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Slovan Liberec U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    89% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.26
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Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cancún have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cancún or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancún have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Mixed — Cancún have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Uncertain — Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cancún or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancún have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Yes — both Cancún (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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