Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 29th March, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Cancún sit 6th in the table after 24 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Tepatitlán de Morelos are 1st after 27 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Cancún have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Tepatitlán de Morelos have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% away (2/10). Cancún average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.7 and 1 on the road.

Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Cancún see 8+ in 80% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 100% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Cancún see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Cancún (6th) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún H 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Cancún have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Cancún have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Cancún are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Cancún have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Cancún (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18 Oct 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Jan 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Aug 2024
Cancún
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2024
Cancún
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Aug 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Mar 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Oct 2022
Cancún
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Apr 2022
Cancún
3 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2022
Cancún
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Sep 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cancún 2.98
Draw 3.3
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.7

Half Time Result

Cancún 3.1
Draw 2.1
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.4

Double Chance

Cancún or Draw 1.44
Cancún or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.33
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.44

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.79
No 2.14

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.1
Over 3.5 3.77
Under 1.5 3.63
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.73

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.11
Over 9.5 1.31
Over 10.5 2.1
Over 11.5 2

Cancún Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.23

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.35

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cancún vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Over 8.5 Corners — Cancún see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Cancún or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancún have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Possibly — Cancún frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Uncertain — Cancún have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cancún or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Cancún have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cancún and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Possibly — Tepatitlán de Morelos frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Cancún are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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