Castro vs Tropezón — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 3, Spain
🕒 Saturday 9th May, 17:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Castro have won 40% of home games, Tropezón 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Castro frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (90%), while Tropezón are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Castro often see both teams score at home (70%), while Tropezón are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Castro see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Tropezón in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 3 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Castro (th) and Tropezón (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 3 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gimnástica Torrelavega 33 25 5 3 81:14 +67 80
2 Laredo 32 20 7 5 60:26 +34 67
3 Cultural Guarnizo 32 19 7 6 44:23 +21 64
4 Tropezón A 32 19 4 9 45:26 +19 61
5 Escobedo 32 19 2 11 55:38 +17 59
6 Atlético Albericia 32 17 5 10 57:38 +19 56
7 Vimenor 32 16 8 8 44:33 +11 56
8 Cayon 32 16 5 11 46:37 +9 53
9 Torina 32 14 7 11 35:38 -3 49
10 Bezana 32 12 7 13 39:37 +2 43
11 Castro H 32 10 7 15 44:45 -1 37
12 Revilla 32 8 6 18 34:60 -26 30
13 Barquereño 32 8 5 19 35:58 -23 29
14 Selaya 32 7 7 18 27:41 -14 28
15 Colindres 32 6 10 16 26:42 -16 28
16 Cartes 32 6 8 18 26:50 -24 26
17 Montañas del Pas 32 6 8 18 32:78 -46 26
18 Noja 33 4 6 23 20:66 -46 18

Team Form

Castro (40% home wins) and Tropezón (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Castro frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Tropezón are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Castro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Tropezón in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Castro have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tropezón in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Castro (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Tropezón (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Castro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Tropezón have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Castro (Home Form) Tropezón (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nagykanizsa W vs PELC-Nyárád W 11:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · PELC-Nyárád W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    93% combined
  • Hills United vs Mt Druitt Town 08:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Hills United have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Spartaan'20 U21 vs Westlandia U21 11:45 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Westlandia U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    87% combined
  • TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart 14:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany TSG Hoffenheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 15/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.45
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Castro vs Tropezón Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Castro vs Tropezón?

Over 1.5 Goals — Castro see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Tropezón in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Castro or Tropezón?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Castro have won 40% of home games, Tropezón 40% away in Tercera - Group 3. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Castro and Tropezón?

Possibly — Castro frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Tropezón are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Castro and Tropezón?

Uncertain — Castro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Tropezón in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 3. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Castro or Tropezón?

Castro have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tropezón's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Castro and Tropezón?

Unlikely — Castro (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Tropezón (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 3.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Cartes vs Castro

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Selaya vs Laredo

📍 Tercera - Group 3, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Tropezón vs Cayon

📍 Tercera - Group 3, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Vimenor vs Montañas del Pas

📍 Tercera - Group 3, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

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Escobedo vs Atlético Albericia

📍 Tercera - Group 3, Spain

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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James T. (London, UK)

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