Cerro Largo vs Peñarol Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 22:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Cerro Largo sit 5th in the table after 30 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol are 2nd after 30 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. Peñarol carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Cerro Largo have won 4/10 at home (40%).

Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Peñarol in 10% away (1/10). Cerro Largo average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Peñarol 1.3 and 0.7 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Cerro Largo at 50% in home games (5/10), Peñarol at 30% away (3/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Cerro Largo see 9+ corners in 0% of home games, Peñarol in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Cerro Largo see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Cerro Largo (5th) and Peñarol (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol A 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo H 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Cerro Largo have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro Largo have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Cerro Largo have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro Largo (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Peñarol (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cerro Largo and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

1st Jun, 2025
Cerro Largo
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Peñarol
Corners 0–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Mar, 2025
Peñarol
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Cerro Largo
Corners 7–9 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Aug, 2024
Peñarol
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro Largo
Corners 2–4 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Feb, 2024
Cerro Largo
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
Corners 6–6 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Nov, 2023
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Cerro Largo
Corners 11–1 Cards 2–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Apr, 2023
Cerro Largo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 1–11 Cards 6–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Oct, 2022
Cerro Largo
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
Corners 4–5 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Jun, 2022
Peñarol
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cerro Largo
Corners 7–4 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Nov, 2021
Peñarol
2 – 2 HT: 0-2
Cerro Largo
Corners 5–0 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Aug, 2021
Cerro Largo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Peñarol
Corners 5–8 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro Largo vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cerro Largo 5.5
Draw 4.09
Peñarol 1.5

Half Time Result

Cerro Largo 7.34
Draw 2.29
Peñarol 2.11

Double Chance

Cerro Largo or Draw 2.6
Cerro Largo or Peñarol 1.26
Draw or Peñarol 1.12

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.34
No 1.62

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.21
Over 3.5 4.08
Under 1.5 3.1
Under 2.5 1.71
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.27

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.47
Over 9.5 1.7
Over 10.5 2.67
Over 11.5 2.93

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 1.95
Over 1.5 4.7
Over 2.5 19

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.85
Over 2.5 3.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Cerro Largo vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Peñarol?

Over 1.5 Goals — Cerro Largo see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro Largo or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Primera Division this season compared to Cerro Largo's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol?

Mixed — Cerro Largo have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol?

Uncertain — Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 10% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro Largo or Peñarol?

Cerro Largo have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Peñarol's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Cerro Largo (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Peñarol (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Primera Division.

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