Cerro vs Atlético Progreso — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 14th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Cerro have won 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Cerro at 0% at home and Atlético Progreso at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Atlético Progreso regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Cerro are lower at home (20%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Cerro (15th) and Atlético Progreso (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 11 8 2 1 20:10 +10 26
2 Deportivo Maldonado 11 7 1 3 19:12 +7 22
3 Peñarol 10 7 1 2 17:8 +9 22
4 Central Español 11 5 3 3 16:13 +3 18
5 Albion 11 4 4 3 14:12 +2 16
6 Nacional 11 5 1 5 16:15 +1 16
7 Defensor Sporting 11 4 4 3 9:7 +2 16
8 Montevideo City Torque 11 4 3 4 14:12 +2 15
9 Danubio 11 3 5 3 14:15 -1 14
10 Wanderers 11 4 2 5 12:17 -5 14
11 Cerro Largo 11 4 2 5 13:14 -1 14
12 Liverpool 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
13 Boston River 11 3 2 6 9:13 -4 11
14 Cerro H 11 2 3 6 6:15 -9 9
15 Atlético Progreso A 11 1 4 6 9:18 -9 7
16 Juventud 11 2 1 8 10:17 -7 7

Team Form

Cerro (40% home wins) and Atlético Progreso (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Progreso regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Cerro are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Cerro (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cerro and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

05 Oct 2025
Atlético Progreso
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2025
Cerro
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Sep 2024
Progreso
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Mar 2024
Cerro
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Sep 2022
Cerro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Jun 2022
Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Mar 2022
Progreso
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Feb 2021
Cerro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2020
Cerro
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Aug 2020
Progreso
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Cerro
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cerro 2.7
Draw 3
Atlético Progreso 3.2

Half Time Result

Cerro 3.4
Draw 1.84
Atlético Progreso 3.75

Double Chance

Cerro or Draw 1.38
Cerro or Atlético Progreso 1.4
Draw or Atlético Progreso 1.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.18
No 1.81

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.5
Over 3.5 5.7
Under 1.5 2.66
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.31
Over 9.5 1.63
Over 10.5 2.63
Over 11.5 2.78

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.75

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Atlético Madrid vs FC Barcelona 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Atlético Madrid have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · FC Barcelona have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
  • Peterborough United U21 vs Brentford U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Peterborough United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Brentford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    88% combined
  • Hull City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Hull City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    88% combined
  • Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe Liverpool have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Paris Saint Germain have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Cerro vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Atlético Progreso?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Cerro have won 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso 40% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Cerro have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Atlético Progreso?

Unlikely — Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Atlético Progreso?

Atlético Progreso have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Atlético Progreso?

Cerro have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Home Win

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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Atlético Progreso vs Wanderers

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Racing vs Defensor Sporting

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

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Cerro vs Montevideo City Torque

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 14:00 BST

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Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado

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Liverpool vs Nacional

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Boston River vs Cerro Largo

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Monday 20th April, 21:00 BST

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Peñarol vs Juventud

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay

🕒 Tuesday 21st April, 00:30 BST

Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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