Cerro vs Defensor Sporting — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 19:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Cerro (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Defensor Sporting on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Cerro at 0% at home and Defensor Sporting at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Cerro at 20% at home and Defensor Sporting at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Defensor Sporting regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (60%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Cerro (15th) and Defensor Sporting (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 9 6 2 1 16:8 +8 20
2 Peñarol 9 6 1 2 15:8 +7 19
3 Deportivo Maldonado 9 5 1 3 13:10 +3 16
4 Nacional 9 5 1 3 14:10 +4 16
5 Central Español 9 4 2 3 13:11 +2 14
6 Wanderers 9 4 2 3 10:11 -1 14
7 Montevideo City Torque 9 4 2 3 13:10 +3 14
8 Liverpool 9 3 4 2 13:11 +2 13
9 Defensor Sporting A 9 3 4 2 7:6 +1 13
10 Danubio 9 3 3 3 11:12 -1 12
11 Cerro Largo 9 4 0 5 10:11 -1 12
12 Albion 9 3 3 3 11:10 +1 12
13 Boston River 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
14 Atlético Progreso 9 1 4 4 9:15 -6 7
15 Cerro H 9 1 2 6 4:14 -10 5
16 Juventud 9 1 1 7 8:15 -7 4

Team Form

Defensor Sporting have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Cerro have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro (20% BTTS at home) and Defensor Sporting (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Defensor Sporting (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Defensor Sporting in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 7 (0.7 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Defensor Sporting have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro vs Defensor Sporting across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cerro 3.3
Draw 3
Defensor Sporting 2.3

Half Time Result

Cerro 3.88
Draw 1.92
Defensor Sporting 2.95

Double Chance

Cerro or Draw 1.55
Cerro or Defensor Sporting 1.36
Draw or Defensor Sporting 1.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.01
No 1.01

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.01
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 3.5 5.5
Under 1.5 1.41
Under 2.5 1.41
Under 3.5 1.13

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.29
Over 9.5 1.71
Over 10.5 2.52
Over 11.5 2.69

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.3

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Veszprém 2015 W vs Nagykanizsa W 13:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Veszprém 2015 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Ursus Warszawa vs Talent Warszawa 10:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ursus Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Talent Warszawa have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    88% combined
  • FC Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W 14:00 BST | First League Women, Czech Republic FC Praha W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Baník Ostrava W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • NSA Sofia W vs Paldin W 14:00 BST | Women's League, Bulgaria NSA Sofia W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Paldin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.18
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Cerro vs Defensor Sporting Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Defensor Sporting?

Cerro have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Defensor Sporting on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Defensor Sporting?

Unlikely — Cerro (20% BTTS at home) and Defensor Sporting (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Defensor Sporting?

Unlikely — Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Defensor Sporting (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Defensor Sporting?

Defensor Sporting have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Defensor Sporting?

Cerro have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

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