Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 19:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Cerro (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Deportivo Maldonado on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Cerro at 0% at home and Deportivo Maldonado at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Cerro 30% at home, Deportivo Maldonado 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Deportivo Maldonado in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Cerro (th) and Deportivo Maldonado (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 12 8 3 1 21:11 +10 27
2 Deportivo Maldonado A 12 7 2 3 20:13 +7 23
3 Peñarol 12 7 2 3 19:12 +7 23
4 Albion 12 5 4 3 20:13 +7 19
5 Nacional 12 6 1 5 19:16 +3 19
6 Central Español 12 5 3 4 17:19 -2 18
7 Defensor Sporting 12 4 5 3 10:8 +2 17
8 Liverpool 12 4 4 4 16:16 0 16
9 Montevideo City Torque 12 4 4 4 15:13 +2 16
10 Danubio 12 3 6 3 15:16 -1 15
11 Wanderers 12 4 2 6 13:19 -6 14
12 Cerro Largo 12 4 2 6 13:15 -2 14
13 Boston River 12 4 2 6 10:13 -3 14
14 Cerro H 12 2 4 6 7:16 -9 10
15 Atlético Progreso 12 2 4 6 11:19 -8 10
16 Juventud 12 2 2 8 12:19 -7 8

Team Form

Deportivo Maldonado have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Cerro have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Deportivo Maldonado in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Cerro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Deportivo Maldonado in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Deportivo Maldonado in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 7 (0.7 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Deportivo Maldonado are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Deportivo Maldonado win 6+ corners in 60% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Deportivo Maldonado (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W 17:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Bayern Munich W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • College Corinthians vs Mayfield United 18:45 BST | Munster Senior League, Republic of Ireland College Corinthians have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Mayfield United have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    80% combined
  • Malahide United vs Killester Donnycarney 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    80% combined
  • Excelsior Rotterdam W vs NAC Breda W 17:45 BST | Eredivisie Women, Netherlands Excelsior Rotterdam W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · NAC Breda W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined

Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Deportivo Maldonado in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Deportivo Maldonado?

Deportivo Maldonado hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Cerro at home (30% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado?

Mixed — Cerro have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Deportivo Maldonado in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado?

Uncertain — Cerro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Deportivo Maldonado in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Deportivo Maldonado?

Deportivo Maldonado have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado?

Possibly — Cerro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Deportivo Maldonado are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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