Cerro vs Nacional Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 1st November, 22:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Cerro sit 6th in the table after 34 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Nacional are 4th after 35 games, averaging 1.7 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Cerro have won 30% of home games, Nacional 30% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Nacional have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 90% of their away fixtures (9/10). Cerro are lower at home (0%, 0/10), averaging 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (90%, 9/10). Cerro are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 60% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Cerro are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Cerro see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Nacional in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Cerro (6th) and Nacional (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional A 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro H 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Cerro (30% home wins) and Nacional (30% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (90%), while Cerro are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 9 (90%)

Match Goals

Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Cerro are lower at home (0%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 9 (90%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 6 (60%)

Under Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 1 (10%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 4 (40%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Nacional in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Cerro are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cerro and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

3rd May, 2025
Nacional
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
Corners 8–4 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Nov, 2024
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
Corners 3–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jun, 2024
Cerro
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 4–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Apr, 2024
Cerro
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Nacional
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Oct, 2023
Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cerro
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Jun, 2023
Cerro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional
Corners 3–9 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Mar, 2023
Cerro
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nacional
Corners 2–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Feb, 2021
Cerro
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
Corners 6–9 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Sep, 2020
Nacional
5 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cerro
Corners 4–9 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2019
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
Corners 2–4 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cerro 9.8
Draw 4.1
Nacional 1.51

Half Time Result

Cerro 9
Draw 2.19
Nacional 2

Double Chance

Cerro or Draw 2.75
Cerro or Nacional 1.29
Draw or Nacional 1.08

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.6
No 1.44

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.47
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 3.5 4.8
Under 1.5 2.96
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.46
Over 9.5 1.64
Over 10.5 2.33
Over 11.5 2.55

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 2.2
Over 1.5 8

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Cerro vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Nacional?

Over 8.5 Corners — Cerro see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Nacional in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Nacional?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Cerro have won 30% of home games, Nacional 30% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly see both teams score away (90%), while Cerro are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Cerro are lower at home (0%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Nacional?

Nacional have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Cerro are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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