Cerro vs Peñarol

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 7th June, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Cerro average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded in away fixtures. Peñarol carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Cerro have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Cerro have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Peñarol in 10% away. Cerro average 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Peñarol 1.3 and 0.7 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Cerro have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Peñarol in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Cerro see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Cerro (th) and Peñarol (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 17 10 3 4 28:18 +10 33
3 Peñarol A 17 10 3 4 27:17 +10 33
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 17 8 3 6 25:24 +1 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Wanderers 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
9 Defensor Sporting 17 5 6 6 14:15 -1 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro H 17 3 4 10 10:28 -18 13
16 Atlético Progreso 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Cerro have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Peñarol are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Super Nova II vs Valmiera 18:00 BST | First Liga, Latvia Super Nova II have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 home matches this season · Valmiera have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    80% combined
  • UE Inhumas U20 vs Aparecidense U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil UE Inhumas U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 home matches this season · Aparecidense U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    71% combined
  • San Martín San Juan Res. vs Colón Res. 19:00 BST | Reserve League, Argentina San Martín San Juan Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Colón Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.75
    71% combined
  • Bangor Celtic vs St Mochtas 19:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Bangor Celtic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 home matches this season · St Mochtas have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    65% combined
Acca odds (approx) 7.01
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Cerro vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Peñarol?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Primera Division this season compared to Cerro's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Cerro (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Peñarol?

Peñarol have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Peñarol?

Possibly — Cerro regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Peñarol are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Match Stats

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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