Cerro vs Peñarol Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 25th October, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Cerro sit 7th in the table after 34 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol are 1st after 35 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded on the road. Peñarol carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Cerro have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Cerro have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Peñarol in 10% away. Cerro average 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Peñarol 1.3 and 0.7 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Cerro have seen BTTS in only 30% of home games (3/10); Peñarol in 30% away (3/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Cerro see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Cerro (7th) and Peñarol (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional 24 15 8 1 43:19 +24 53
2 Peñarol A 25 16 5 4 47:21 +26 53
3 Defensor Sporting 21 10 4 7 22:24 -2 34
4 Boston River 21 8 9 4 34:20 +14 33
5 Montevideo City Torque 21 9 5 7 36:26 +10 32
6 Liverpool 22 9 5 8 30:30 0 32
7 Cerro H 21 9 4 8 20:22 -2 31
8 Danubio 21 8 4 9 27:24 +3 28
9 Cerro Largo 21 7 7 7 24:22 +2 28
10 Juventud 21 8 4 9 19:22 -3 28
11 Racing 21 7 6 8 23:28 -5 27
12 Atlético Progreso 21 7 3 11 21:32 -11 24
13 River Plate 21 4 7 10 18:27 -9 19
14 Miramar Misiones 21 4 5 12 19:32 -13 17
15 Plaza Colonia 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
16 Wanderers 21 3 7 11 12:30 -18 16

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Cerro have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Cerro have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Peñarol in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Cerro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Cerro and Peñarol. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

28th Jun, 2025
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cerro
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Sep, 2024
Cerro
0 – 5 HT: 0-2
Peñarol
Corners 3–1 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Mar, 2024
Peñarol
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
Corners 10–4 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Aug, 2023
Cerro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Peñarol
Corners 4–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Feb, 2023
Peñarol
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cerro
Corners 2–6 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Jan, 2021
Cerro
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
Corners 8–0 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Feb, 2020
Peñarol
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cerro
Corners 10–4 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Nov, 2019
Cerro
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
Peñarol
Corners 3–3 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Apr, 2019
Peñarol
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Cerro
Corners 11–6 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Sep, 2018
Peñarol
3 – 2 HT: 0-1
Cerro
Corners 10–3 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cerro 11
Draw 4.7
Peñarol 1.41

Half Time Result

Cerro 9.24
Draw 2.11
Peñarol 1.88

Double Chance

Cerro or Draw 3.13
Cerro or Peñarol 1.2
Draw or Peñarol 1.08

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.54
No 1.56

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 3.3
Under 2.5 1.76
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 2.94

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.69
Over 10.5 2.44
Over 11.5 2.54

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 2.17
Over 1.5 6.7

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Cerro vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro vs Peñarol?

Under 2.5 Goals — Cerro have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Peñarol in 90% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Primera Division this season compared to Cerro's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Cerro (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Cerro (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (10% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro or Peñarol?

Peñarol have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Cerro's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro and Peñarol?

Cerro have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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