Chelsea vs Ajax — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Wednesday 22nd October, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Chelsea (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Ajax on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Ajax have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Ajax regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Chelsea regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Ajax are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Chelsea see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Ajax in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (20th) and Ajax (36th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 12 11 0 1 38:14 +24 33
2 Arsenal 12 10 2 0 27:5 +22 32
3 Paris Saint Germain 14 9 3 2 38:17 +21 30
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
7 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
8 Atlético Madrid 14 7 2 5 34:26 +8 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea H 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax A 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Chelsea have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Ajax have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ajax regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Ajax regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Ajax in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Chelsea regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 70% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Ajax have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Ajax. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

5th Nov, 2019
Chelsea
4 – 4 HT: 1-3
Ajax
Corners 3–6 Cards 2–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Oct, 2019
Ajax
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
Corners 6–9 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Jul, 2010
Ajax
3 – 1 HT:
Chelsea
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Ajax across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 1.41
Draw 5.8
Ajax 7.8

Half Time Result

Chelsea 1.78
Draw 2.94
Ajax 6.5

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.1
Chelsea or Ajax 1.14
Draw or Ajax 3.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.77
No 2.26

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.51
Over 3.5 2.25
Under 1.5 5.5
Under 2.5 2.92
Under 3.5 1.79

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.18

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.32
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 1.93
Over 11.5 2.45

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.38

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.59
Over 1.5 3.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Eger W vs Kazincbarcika W 17:30 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Eger W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Kazincbarcika W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    91% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • SK Artis Brno vs Táborsko 16:00 BST | Chance Národní Liga, Czech Republic SK Artis Brno have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Táborsko have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 2
    82% combined
  • Westerlo U21 vs Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 19:00 BST | Reserve Pro League, Belgium Westerlo U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Beerschot-Wilrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.95
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Chelsea vs Ajax Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Ajax?

Over 1.5 Goals — Chelsea see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Ajax in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Ajax?

Chelsea have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Ajax on the road (30% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Ajax?

Possibly — Ajax regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Ajax?

Possibly — Ajax regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Ajax?

Ajax have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Chelsea's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Ajax?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Ajax are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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