Chelsea vs Arsenal Football Stats

πŸ“ Carabao Cup, England
πŸ•’ Wednesday 14th January, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Chelsea sit 1st in the table after 3 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Arsenal are 2nd after 2 games, averaging 1.5 scored and 0.9 conceded on the road. Arsenal carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Chelsea have won 3/10 at home (30%).

Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Arsenal in 50% away (5/10). Chelsea average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Arsenal 1.5 and 0.9 on the road.

Arsenal regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Chelsea are lower at home (30%, 3/10) β€” they've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed β€” Chelsea see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Arsenal in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals β€” Chelsea have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Arsenal in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Carabao Cup table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (1st) and Arsenal (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Carabao Cup 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 14:2 +12 18
2 Arsenal A 6 4 1 1 9:5 +4 13
3 Cardiff City 5 4 0 1 10:6 +4 12
4 Newcastle United 5 3 0 2 9:7 +2 9
5 Chelsea H 5 3 0 2 11:9 +2 9
6 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 2 0 5:2 +3 8
7 Fulham 4 2 1 1 5:3 +2 7
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 9:7 +2 7
9 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4:2 +2 7
10 Grimsby Town 4 2 1 1 6:8 -2 7
11 Brentford 4 2 1 1 8:3 +5 7
12 Swansea City 4 2 1 1 8:7 +1 7
13 Doncaster Rovers 3 2 0 1 6:3 +3 6
14 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 6:5 +1 6
15 Southampton 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
16 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 2 0 1 12:2 +10 6
17 Lincoln City 3 2 0 1 5:3 +2 6
18 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
19 Reading 3 2 0 1 4:4 0 6
20 Accrington Stanley 3 2 0 1 5:4 +1 6
21 Wigan Athletic 3 2 0 1 2:2 0 6
22 Cambridge United 3 2 0 1 5:2 +3 6
23 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 2 0 1 8:6 +2 6
24 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 5:2 +3 5
25 Plymouth Argyle 2 1 1 0 4:3 +1 4
26 Barnsley 3 1 1 1 4:9 -5 4
27 Tottenham Hotspur 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
28 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
29 Preston North End 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
30 Stockport County 2 1 0 1 3:2 +1 3
31 Oxford United 2 1 0 1 1:6 -5 3
32 Norwich City 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
33 Birmingham City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Coventry City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
35 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
36 Charlton Athletic 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
37 Everton 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
38 Mansfield Town 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
39 Burnley 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
40 Cheltenham Town 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
41 Huddersfield Town 3 0 2 1 3:5 -2 2
42 Sheffield Wednesday 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
43 Bromley 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
44 Tranmere Rovers 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
45 Burton Albion 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
46 Salford City 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
47 Rotherham United 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
48 Leicester City 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
49 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
50 Bolton Wanderers 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
51 Leeds United 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
52 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
53 Stoke City 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
54 Walsall 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
55 Fleetwood Town 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
56 Derby County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
57 Gillingham 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
58 Manchester United 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
59 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
60 Newport County 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
61 West Bromwich Albion 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
62 Ipswich Town 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
63 Barnet 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
64 Hull City 1 0 1 0 3:3 0 1
65 Queens Park Rangers 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
66 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
67 Crewe Alexandra 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
68 Colchester United 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
69 Harrogate Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
70 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
71 Luton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
72 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
73 Blackburn Rovers 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
74 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
75 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
76 Northampton Town 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
77 AFC Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
78 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
79 Nottingham Forest 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
80 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
81 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
82 Oldham Athletic 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
83 Peterborough United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
84 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
85 Notts County 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
86 Shrewsbury Town 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
87 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
88 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
89 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
90 Watford 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
91 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
92 West Ham United 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0

Team Form

Arsenal have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Chelsea have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Arsenal regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Arsenal in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Arsenal in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Chelsea regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Arsenal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Arsenal. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up β€” use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Nov 2025
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
16 Mar 2025
Arsenal
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
10 Nov 2024
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
23 Apr 2024
Arsenal
5 – 0 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
21 Oct 2023
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Arsenal
02 May 2023
Arsenal
3 – 1 HT: 3-0
Chelsea
06 Nov 2022
Chelsea
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Arsenal
24 Jul 2022
Arsenal
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
20 Apr 2022
Chelsea
2 – 4 HT: 2-2
Arsenal
22 Aug 2021
Arsenal
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Chelsea

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Arsenal across a range of markets β€” full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change β€” always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 4.3
Draw 3.8
Arsenal 1.96

Half Time Result

Chelsea 4.59
Draw 2.28
Arsenal 2.53

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.99
Chelsea or Arsenal 1.33
Draw or Arsenal 1.22

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 3.5 3.45
Under 1.5 4.03
Under 2.5 2.01
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.78

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.51
Over 9.5 1.71
Over 10.5 2.48
Over 11.5 2.6

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.2

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • BreiΓ°ablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland BreiΓ°ablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs NΓ΅mme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · NΓ΅mme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SΓΈnderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SΓΈnderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Under 3.5 Goals β€” Chelsea have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Arsenal in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Arsenal?

Arsenal arrive in the better form β€” winning 60% of away games in Carabao Cup this season compared to Chelsea's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Arsenal?

Possibly β€” Arsenal regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Arsenal?

Uncertain β€” Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Arsenal in 50% of away games in Carabao Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Arsenal?

Arsenal have the stronger away scoring record β€” 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Chelsea's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Arsenal?

Possibly β€” Chelsea regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (30%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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