Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 27th September, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams are evenly matched — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Chelsea 80% at home, Brighton & Hove Albion 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Chelsea 40% at home, Brighton & Hove Albion 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

High corner counts are common for both teams (80% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Chelsea see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (6th) and Brighton & Hove Albion (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea H 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion A 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Chelsea (40% home wins) and Brighton & Hove Albion (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Chelsea have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Chelsea 80% at home, Brighton & Hove Albion 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Brighton & Hove Albion in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Chelsea (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Brighton & Hove Albion (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Brighton & Hove Albion have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Brighton & Hove Albion (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14th Feb, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
8th Feb, 2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
28th Sep, 2024
Chelsea
4 – 2 HT: 4-2
Brighton & Hove Albion
15th May, 2024
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
3rd Dec, 2023
Chelsea
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
27th Sep, 2023
Chelsea
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
22nd Jul, 2023
Chelsea
4 – 3 HT: 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
15th Apr, 2023
Chelsea
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
29th Oct, 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
4 – 1 HT: 3-0
Chelsea
18th Jan, 2022
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Chelsea

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 2
Draw 3.75
Brighton & Hove Albion 3.5

Half Time Result

Chelsea 2.45
Draw 2.54
Brighton & Hove Albion 4.33

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.29
Chelsea or Brighton & Hove Albion 1.29
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion 1.95

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.49

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.63
Under 1.5 4.5
Under 2.5 2.2
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.41

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.49
Over 10.5 2.04
Over 11.5 2.14

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.74
Over 2.5 3.3

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.72
Over 2.5 7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined

Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Over 8.5 Corners — Chelsea see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion 40% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Mixed — Chelsea have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Uncertain — Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Brighton & Hove Albion in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Brighton & Hove Albion?

Chelsea have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Brighton & Hove Albion's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion?

Yes — both Chelsea (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Brighton & Hove Albion (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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