Chelsea vs Burnley Football Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 21st February, 15:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Chelsea sit 5th in the table after 24 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per home match this season. Burnley are 19th after 23 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded on the road. Chelsea have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Burnley have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Burnley in 50% away (5/10). Chelsea average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, Burnley 0.8 and 2.2 on the road.

Burnley regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Chelsea are lower at home (30%, 3/10) — they've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Chelsea see 8+ in 90% of home games, Burnley in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Chelsea at 30% BTTS in home games and Burnley at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (5th) and Burnley (19th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 71:27 +44 85
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 77:35 +42 78
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 69:50 +19 71
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 56:49 +7 65
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 63:53 +10 60
6 AFC Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 58:54 +4 57
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
8 Brentford 38 14 11 13 55:52 +3 53
9 Brighton & Hove Albion 38 14 11 13 52:46 +6 53
10 Fulham 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
11 Chelsea H 38 14 10 14 58:52 +6 52
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
17 Tottenham Hotspur 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
18 West Ham United 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
19 Burnley A 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20

Team Form

Burnley have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Chelsea have been more solid at home (60% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Chelsea are lower at home (30%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Burnley in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Chelsea regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Burnley have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Burnley. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 Nov 2025
Burnley
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
30 Mar 2024
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Burnley
07 Oct 2023
Burnley
1 – 4 HT: 1-1
Chelsea
05 Mar 2022
Burnley
0 – 4 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
06 Nov 2021
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Burnley
31 Jan 2021
Chelsea
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Burnley
31 Oct 2020
Burnley
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Chelsea
11 Jan 2020
Chelsea
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Burnley
26 Oct 2019
Burnley
2 – 4 HT: 0-2
Chelsea
22 Apr 2019
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Burnley

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Burnley across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 1.25
Draw 6.25
Burnley 11

Half Time Result

Chelsea 1.62
Draw 3.06
Burnley 8.9

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.05
Chelsea or Burnley 1.12
Draw or Burnley 4.38

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.03
No 1.77

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.5
Over 3.5 2.2
Under 1.5 5.15
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.71

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.5
Over 10.5 1.92
Over 11.5 1.96

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.28

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 1.91
Over 1.5 4.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Burnley?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Chelsea at 30% BTTS at home and Burnley at 60% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Burnley?

Chelsea have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Burnley on the road (10% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Burnley?

Mixed — Chelsea have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Burnley in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Burnley?

Uncertain — Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Burnley?

Burnley have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Chelsea's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Burnley?

Possibly — Chelsea regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Burnley are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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