Chelsea vs Liverpool — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 17:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Both teams are evenly matched — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Liverpool 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Chelsea frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Liverpool are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Chelsea at 40% at home and Liverpool at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

High corner counts are common for both teams (80% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Chelsea see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Liverpool in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Chelsea (8th) and Liverpool (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 32 21 7 4 62:24 +38 70
2 Manchester City 31 19 7 5 63:28 +35 64
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56:43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 32 16 7 9 43:38 +5 55
5 Liverpool A 32 15 7 10 52:42 +10 52
6 Chelsea H 32 13 9 10 53:41 +12 48
7 Brentford 32 13 8 11 48:44 +4 47
8 Everton 32 13 8 11 39:37 +2 47
9 Sunderland 32 12 10 10 33:36 -3 46
10 Brighton & Hove Albion 32 12 10 10 43:37 +6 46
11 AFC Bournemouth 32 10 15 7 48:49 -1 45
12 Fulham 32 13 5 14 43:46 -3 44
13 Newcastle United 32 12 6 14 45:47 -2 42
14 Crystal Palace 31 11 9 11 35:36 -1 42
15 Nottingham Forest 32 8 9 15 32:44 -12 33
16 Leeds United 31 7 12 12 37:48 -11 33
17 West Ham United 32 8 8 16 40:57 -17 32
18 Tottenham Hotspur 32 7 9 16 40:51 -11 30
19 Burnley 32 4 8 20 33:63 -30 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 3 8 21 24:58 -34 17

Team Form

Chelsea (40% home wins) and Liverpool (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Lost 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Chelsea (40% BTTS at home) and Liverpool (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Chelsea have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Liverpool in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Chelsea (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Liverpool (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Chelsea win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Liverpool have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Corners Conceded

Chelsea (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Chelsea and Liverpool. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

4th May, 2025
Chelsea
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Liverpool
Corners 3–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Oct, 2024
Liverpool
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Chelsea
Corners 1–5 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Feb, 2024
Chelsea
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Liverpool
Corners 6–5 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Jan, 2024
Liverpool
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Chelsea
Corners 8–1 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Aug, 2023
Chelsea
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Liverpool
Corners 4–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th Apr, 2023
Chelsea
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Liverpool
Corners 3–5 Cards 1–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jan, 2023
Liverpool
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Chelsea
Corners 5–5 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th May, 2022
Chelsea
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Liverpool
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Feb, 2022
Chelsea
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Liverpool
Corners 2–11 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Jan, 2022
Chelsea
2 – 2 HT: 2-2
Liverpool
Corners 6–7 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Chelsea vs Liverpool across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Chelsea 2.87
Draw 3.75
Liverpool 2.4

Half Time Result

Chelsea 3.33
Draw 2.36
Liverpool 2.88

Double Chance

Chelsea or Draw 1.64
Chelsea or Liverpool 1.31
Draw or Liverpool 1.45

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.46
No 2.87

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.37
Under 1.5 4.85
Under 2.5 2.37
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.92
Over 11.5 2.06

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.1
Over 2.5 4.65

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.87
Over 2.5 3.88

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Liverpool?

Over 8.5 Corners — Chelsea see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Liverpool in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Chelsea or Liverpool?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Chelsea have won 40% of home games, Liverpool 40% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Chelsea and Liverpool?

Unlikely — Chelsea (40% BTTS at home) and Liverpool (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Chelsea and Liverpool?

Uncertain — Chelsea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Chelsea or Liverpool?

Liverpool have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Chelsea's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Chelsea and Liverpool?

Yes — both Chelsea (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Liverpool (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Premier League. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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