Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Wales
🕒 Tuesday 23rd September, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Connah's Quay hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Caernarfon Town are less consistent on the road (4/10, 40%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Connah's Quay consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Caernarfon Town are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Connah's Quay and Caernarfon Town frequently see both teams scoring (90% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Connah's Quay see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Connah's Quay (5th) and Caernarfon Town (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay H 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 32 14 6 12 48:43 +5 48
4 Barry Town United 32 12 10 10 43:33 +10 46
5 Caernarfon Town A 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
6 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 +4 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

Connah's Quay hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Caernarfon Town have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Connah's Quay have seen both teams score in 90% of home games this season, Caernarfon Town in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Connah's Quay frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Caernarfon Town are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Connah's Quay have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Caernarfon Town in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Caernarfon Town frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Connah's Quay are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Connah's Quay have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Caernarfon Town have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Connah's Quay and Caernarfon Town. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

3rd Dec, 2024
Connah's Quay
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Caernarfon Town
28th Sep, 2024
Caernarfon Town
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Connah's Quay
17th Sep, 2024
Connah's Quay
3 – 2 HT: 2-2
Caernarfon Town
15th Mar, 2024
Caernarfon Town
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
2nd Feb, 2024
Connah's Quay
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Caernarfon Town
27th Oct, 2023
Connah's Quay
6 – 1 HT: 5-0
Caernarfon Town
14th Oct, 2023
Connah's Quay
4 – 1 HT: 2-0
Caernarfon Town
1st Sep, 2023
Caernarfon Town
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Connah's Quay
18th Nov, 2022
Connah's Quay
3 – 3 HT: 0-1
Caernarfon Town
27th Sep, 2022
Caernarfon Town
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Connah's Quay 2.32
Draw 3.66
Caernarfon Town 2.76

Half Time Result

Connah's Quay 2.85
Draw 2.48
Caernarfon Town 3.25

Double Chance

Connah's Quay or Draw 1.46
Connah's Quay or Caernarfon Town 1.29
Draw or Caernarfon Town 1.62

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.44
No 2.57

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.51
Over 3.5 2.33
Under 1.5 4.6
Under 2.5 2.26
Under 3.5 1.53

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.53
Over 10.5 2.19
Over 11.5 2.46

Connah's Quay Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.89
Over 2.5 3.84

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1
Over 2.5 4.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined

Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Connah's Quay vs Caernarfon Town?

Over 8.5 Corners — Connah's Quay see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Connah's Quay or Caernarfon Town?

Connah's Quay hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Caernarfon Town have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Connah's Quay and Caernarfon Town?

Possibly — Connah's Quay frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Caernarfon Town are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Connah's Quay and Caernarfon Town?

Possibly — Connah's Quay frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Caernarfon Town are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Connah's Quay or Caernarfon Town?

Connah's Quay have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Caernarfon Town's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Connah's Quay and Caernarfon Town?

Possibly — Caernarfon Town frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Connah's Quay are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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