Connah's Quay vs Penybont — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Wales
🕒 Saturday 21st March, 14:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Connah's Quay to Win

Connah's Quay hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Penybont are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Connah's Quay consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Penybont are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Connah's Quay often see both teams score at home (90%), while Penybont are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Connah's Quay to Win — Connah's Quay have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Penybont have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Connah's Quay (4th) and Penybont (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay H 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 33 14 7 12 49:44 +5 49
4 Barry Town United 33 12 11 10 44:34 +10 47
5 Colwyn Bay 33 12 10 11 41:37 +4 46
6 Caernarfon Town 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont A 33 11 9 13 39:49 -10 42
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

Connah's Quay hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Penybont have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Connah's Quay frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Penybont are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Connah's Quay frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Penybont are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Connah's Quay have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Penybont in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goal Totals

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Connah's Quay (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Penybont (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Connah's Quay have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Penybont have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Connah's Quay (Home Form) Penybont (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Connah's Quay and Penybont. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Feb 2026
Penybont
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Nov 2025
Connah's Quay
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Aug 2025
Penybont
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jan 2025
Penybont
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Sep 2024
Connah's Quay
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Jan 2024
Penybont
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Sep 2023
Connah's Quay
4 – 2 HT: 2-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Apr 2023
Connah's Quay
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Mar 2023
Penybont
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Oct 2022
Penybont
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Connah's Quay
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Connah's Quay vs Penybont across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Connah's Quay 1.66
Draw 3.5
Penybont 4.2

Half Time Result

Connah's Quay 2.25
Draw 2.35
Penybont 4.97

Double Chance

Connah's Quay or Draw 1.2
Connah's Quay or Penybont 1.3
Draw or Penybont 2.09

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.74
No 2.1

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 2.98
Under 1.5 3.72
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.38

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.64

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.57
Over 9.5 1.9
Over 10.5 2.62
Over 11.5 3.5

Connah's Quay Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.75

Penybont Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.34

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Connah's Quay vs Penybont Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Connah's Quay vs Penybont?

Connah's Quay to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Penybont have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Connah's Quay or Penybont?

Connah's Quay hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Penybont have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Connah's Quay and Penybont?

Possibly — Connah's Quay frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Penybont are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Connah's Quay and Penybont?

Possibly — Connah's Quay frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Penybont are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Connah's Quay or Penybont?

Connah's Quay have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Penybont's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Connah's Quay and Penybont?

Connah's Quay have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Penybont in 40% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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