Corinthians vs Peñarol — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Libertadores, South America
🕒 Friday 1st May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Peñarol have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Corinthians are less dominant at home (3/10, 30%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Corinthians at 20% at home and Peñarol at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Corinthians at 30% at home and Peñarol at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Corinthians have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Copa Libertadores table for the 2026 season, with Corinthians (th) and Peñarol (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Libertadores 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Carabobo 4 3 0 1 5:3 +2 9
2 Independiente Medellín 6 2 3 1 7:8 -1 9
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
4 Juventud 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 6 2 1 3 3:6 -3 7
6 Deportes Tolima 6 2 1 3 4:5 -1 7
7 2 de Mayo 4 1 3 0 4:3 +1 6
8 LDU Quito 2 2 0 0 3:0 +3 6
9 Boca Juniors 2 2 0 0 5:1 +4 6
10 Flamengo 2 2 0 0 6:1 +5 6
11 Corinthians H 2 2 0 0 4:0 +4 6
12 Independiente Rivadavia 2 2 0 0 3:1 +2 6
13 O'Higgins 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
14 Deportivo Táchira 4 2 0 2 3:3 0 6
15 Palmeiras 2 1 1 0 3:2 +1 4
16 Independiente del Valle 2 1 1 0 3:1 +2 4
17 Rosario Central 2 1 1 0 1:0 +1 4
18 Estudiantes 2 1 1 0 3:2 +1 4
19 Nacional 2 1 1 0 4:2 +2 4
20 Coquimbo Unido 2 1 1 0 3:1 +2 4
21 Botafogo 4 1 1 2 3:3 0 4
22 Cerro Porteño 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
23 UCV 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
24 Mirassol 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
25 Lanús 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
26 Universidad Católica 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
27 Cruzeiro 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
28 Universidad Católica 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
29 Argentinos Juniors 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
30 Platense 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
31 Nacional Potosí 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
32 Bahia 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
33 The Strongest 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
34 Deportivo La Guaira 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
35 Junior FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
36 Alianza Lima 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
37 Universitario 2 0 1 1 0:2 -2 1
38 Liverpool 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
39 Peñarol A 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
40 Santa Fe 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
41 Guaraní 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
42 Fluminense 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
43 Club Bolívar 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
44 Libertad 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
45 Always Ready 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
46 Cusco FC 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
47 Huachipato 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0

Team Form

Peñarol have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Corinthians have been less dominant at home (30%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Corinthians (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Corinthians (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Corinthians have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Peñarol in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Corinthians regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Peñarol are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Corinthians have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Corinthians (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Corinthians vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Corinthians 1.5
Draw 3.9
Peñarol 7

Half Time Result

Corinthians 2.1
Draw 2.1
Peñarol 8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.63
No 1.44

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.43
Over 3.5 4.8
Under 1.5 2.7
Under 2.5 1.53
Under 3.5 1.17

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.5

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.83

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 2.1
Over 1.5 8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Corinthians vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs Peñarol?

Under 2.5 Goals — Corinthians have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Peñarol in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Corinthians or Peñarol?

Peñarol arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Copa Libertadores this season compared to Corinthians's 30% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Corinthians and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Corinthians (30% BTTS at home) and Peñarol (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Copa Libertadores. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Corinthians and Peñarol?

Unlikely — Corinthians (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Peñarol (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Copa Libertadores. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Corinthians or Peñarol?

Corinthians have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Peñarol's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Corinthians and Peñarol?

Possibly — Corinthians regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Peñarol are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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