Corinthians vs São Paulo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 22:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Corinthians (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over São Paulo on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Corinthians at 10% at home and São Paulo at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Corinthians 10% at home, São Paulo 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

São Paulo often produce high corner totals away (70%), while Corinthians are lower at home (50%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Corinthians have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, São Paulo in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Corinthians (th) and São Paulo (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 13 10 2 1 23:10 +13 32
2 Fluminense 13 8 2 3 23:16 +7 26
3 Flamengo 12 8 2 2 24:10 +14 26
4 São Paulo A 13 7 2 4 17:11 +6 23
5 Athletico PR 13 7 1 5 20:15 +5 22
6 Bahia 12 6 3 3 17:14 +3 21
7 Coritiba 13 5 4 4 15:13 +2 19
8 Botafogo 12 5 2 5 24:24 0 17
9 Bragantino 13 5 2 6 15:15 0 17
10 Cruzeiro 13 4 4 5 17:21 -4 16
11 Vasco da Gama 13 4 4 5 18:19 -1 16
12 Grêmio 13 4 4 5 15:16 -1 16
13 Vitória 12 4 3 5 12:17 -5 15
14 Corinthians H 13 3 6 4 9:11 -2 15
15 Atlético Mineiro 13 4 2 7 14:19 -5 14
16 Internacional 13 3 5 5 12:14 -2 14
17 Santos 13 3 5 5 18:21 -3 14
18 Mirassol 12 2 3 7 13:18 -5 9
19 Chapecoense 12 1 5 6 12:24 -12 8
20 Remo 13 1 5 7 13:23 -10 8

Team Form

São Paulo have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while Corinthians have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Corinthians have seen both teams score in 10% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Corinthians have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Corinthians have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Corinthians (70% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Corinthians have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Corinthians (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Corinthians vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Corinthians 2.15
Draw 3
São Paulo 3.5

Half Time Result

Corinthians 2.87
Draw 2
São Paulo 4.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.34
Over 3.5 4.5
Under 1.5 2.8
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.4

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.5

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nagykanizsa W vs PELC-Nyárád W 11:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · PELC-Nyárád W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    93% combined
  • Hills United vs Mt Druitt Town 08:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Hills United have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Spartaan'20 U21 vs Westlandia U21 11:45 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Westlandia U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    87% combined
  • TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart 14:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany TSG Hoffenheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 15/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined

Corinthians vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Corinthians vs São Paulo?

Under 2.5 Goals — Corinthians have stayed under 3 goals in 90% of home games, São Paulo in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Corinthians or São Paulo?

Corinthians have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over São Paulo on the road (40% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Corinthians and São Paulo?

Mixed — Corinthians have seen BTTS in 10% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Corinthians and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Corinthians have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 10% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Corinthians or São Paulo?

Corinthians have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Corinthians and São Paulo?

Yes — both Corinthians (70% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Botafogo vs Remo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 20:00 BST

Palmeiras vs Santos

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 22:30 BST

Vitória vs Coritiba

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 22:30 BST

Athletico PR vs Grêmio

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 00:30 BST

Cruzeiro vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 01:00 BST

São Paulo vs Bahia

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 20:00 BST

Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 20:00 BST

Chapecoense vs Bragantino

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 22:30 BST

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