Danubio vs Atlético Progreso Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 28th February, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Danubio sit 9th in the table after 1 games, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso are 16th after 1 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Danubio have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Atlético Progreso have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Danubio have seen 3+ goals in only 20% of home fixtures; Atlético Progreso in 30% away. Danubio average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.8 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Danubio at 40% in home games (4/10), Atlético Progreso at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Danubio see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Danubio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Danubio (9th) and Atlético Progreso (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado 17 10 3 4 28:18 +10 33
3 Peñarol 17 10 3 4 27:17 +10 33
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 17 8 3 6 25:24 +1 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Wanderers 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
9 Defensor Sporting 17 5 6 6 14:15 -1 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio H 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro 17 3 4 10 10:28 -18 13
16 Atlético Progreso A 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Atlético Progreso have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Danubio have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Danubio have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Danubio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Danubio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Danubio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Danubio and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Aug 2025
Atlético Progreso
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 May 2025
Atlético Progreso
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Feb 2025
Danubio
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Oct 2024
Progreso
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2024
Danubio
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Aug 2022
Progreso
3 – 2 HT: 2-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Feb 2021
Danubio
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Aug 2020
Progreso
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Oct 2019
Progreso
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Aug 2019
Progreso
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Danubio vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Danubio 2.1
Draw 3.05
Atlético Progreso 3.4

Half Time Result

Danubio 2.76
Draw 1.85
Atlético Progreso 4.66

Double Chance

Danubio or Draw 1.26
Danubio or Atlético Progreso 1.34
Draw or Atlético Progreso 1.69

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.46
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 3.5 4.7
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.67
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.46
Over 9.5 1.65
Over 10.5 2.45
Over 11.5 2.45

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.33

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.55
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Danubio vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 2.5 Goals — Danubio have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Danubio or Atlético Progreso?

Danubio have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Atlético Progreso on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Danubio and Atlético Progreso?

Mixed — Danubio have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Danubio and Atlético Progreso?

Unlikely — Danubio (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Primera Division. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Danubio or Atlético Progreso?

Danubio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Danubio and Atlético Progreso?

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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