Danubio vs Defensor Sporting — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 28th March, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Danubio (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Defensor Sporting on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Danubio at 40% at home and Defensor Sporting at 30% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Danubio at 40% at home and Defensor Sporting at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Danubio have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Danubio (9th) and Defensor Sporting (10th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Peñarol 8 6 1 1 14:6 +8 19
2 Racing 8 5 2 1 14:7 +7 17
3 Deportivo Maldonado 8 5 1 2 12:8 +4 16
4 Montevideo City Torque 8 4 2 2 11:7 +4 14
5 Nacional 8 4 1 3 11:8 +3 13
6 Danubio H 8 3 3 2 11:10 +1 12
7 Liverpool 8 3 3 2 10:8 +2 12
8 Defensor Sporting A 8 3 3 2 6:5 +1 12
9 Central Español 8 3 2 3 11:10 +1 11
10 Wanderers 8 3 2 3 7:11 -4 11
11 Albion 8 3 2 3 10:9 +1 11
12 Cerro Largo 8 3 0 5 8:11 -3 9
13 Atlético Progreso 8 1 3 4 6:12 -6 6
14 Cerro 8 1 2 5 4:11 -7 5
15 Boston River 8 1 2 5 3:9 -6 5
16 Juventud 8 1 1 6 7:13 -6 4

Team Form

Defensor Sporting have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Danubio have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Danubio (40% BTTS at home) and Defensor Sporting (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Danubio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Danubio have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Defensor Sporting in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Danubio (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Defensor Sporting (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Danubio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Defensor Sporting have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Defensor Sporting (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Danubio and Defensor Sporting. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Sep 2025
Defensor Sporting
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Mar 2025
Danubio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Defensor Sporting
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Oct 2024
Danubio
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Defensor Sporting
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Mar 2024
Defensor Sporting
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Mar 2024
Defensor Sporting
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Dec 2023
Defensor Sporting
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jul 2023
Defensor Sporting
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 May 2023
Danubio
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Defensor Sporting
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2023
Defensor Sporting
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2022
Defensor Sporting
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Danubio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Danubio vs Defensor Sporting across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Danubio 2.62
Draw 3
Defensor Sporting 2.75

Half Time Result

Danubio 3.44
Draw 2.06
Defensor Sporting 3.4

Double Chance

Danubio or Draw 1.4
Danubio or Defensor Sporting 1.36
Draw or Defensor Sporting 1.41

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.04
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.5
Over 2.5 2.56
Over 3.5 5.03
Under 1.5 2.88
Under 2.5 1.61
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.55
Over 10.5 2.04
Over 11.5 2.57

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.8

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Al Ittihad W vs Al Qadsiah W 17:30 BST Al Ittihad W have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Al Qadsiah W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    90% combined
  • Y Rhyl 1879 vs Denbigh Town 19:45 BST Y Rhyl 1879 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Denbigh Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    88% combined
  • Kortrijk U21 vs RFC de Liege U21 19:30 BST Kortrijk U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · RFC de Liege U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    87% combined
  • Watford U21 vs Coventry City U21 14:00 BST Watford U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Coventry City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.12
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Danubio vs Defensor Sporting Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Defensor Sporting?

Under 2.5 Goals — Danubio have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Danubio or Defensor Sporting?

Danubio have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Defensor Sporting on the road (20% wins) in Primera Division. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Danubio and Defensor Sporting?

Unlikely — Danubio (40% BTTS at home) and Defensor Sporting (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Danubio and Defensor Sporting?

Uncertain — Danubio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Danubio or Defensor Sporting?

Danubio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Defensor Sporting's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Danubio and Defensor Sporting?

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Defensor Sporting in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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