Danubio vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 12th October, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — Danubio have won 40% of home games, Nacional 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Nacional have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Danubio are lower at home (20%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Danubio are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Danubio usually generate 8+ corners at home (60%), while Nacional are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Danubio see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2025 season, with Danubio (10th) and Nacional (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Nacional A 28 19 8 1 53:21 +32 65
2 Peñarol 29 20 5 4 55:23 +32 65
3 Boston River 25 10 10 5 37:22 +15 40
4 Defensor Sporting 25 12 4 9 27:29 -2 40
5 Liverpool 26 11 6 9 33:31 +2 39
6 Juventud 25 11 5 9 25:25 0 38
7 Danubio H 25 10 5 10 31:26 +5 35
8 Cerro 25 9 6 10 21:29 -8 33
9 Racing 25 8 9 8 27:30 -3 33
10 Montevideo City Torque 25 9 5 11 41:35 +6 32
11 Cerro Largo 25 8 8 9 29:28 +1 32
12 Atlético Progreso 25 8 3 14 25:39 -14 27
13 River Plate 25 5 7 13 19:32 -13 22
14 Wanderers 25 5 7 13 15:34 -19 22
15 Miramar Misiones 25 5 6 14 23:37 -14 21
16 Plaza Colonia 25 3 8 14 17:37 -20 17

Team Form

Danubio (40% home wins) and Nacional (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Danubio are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Danubio are lower at home (20%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Danubio have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nacional in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Danubio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Danubio (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Danubio and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Jun, 2025
Nacional
3 – 2 HT: 2-1
Danubio
13th Apr, 2025
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
28th Nov, 2024
Danubio
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
13th Jul, 2024
Danubio
0 – 6 HT: 0-3
Nacional
25th May, 2024
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Danubio
16th Nov, 2023
Nacional
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Danubio
9th Apr, 2023
Danubio
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
23rd Oct, 2022
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Danubio
25th Jun, 2022
Danubio
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
5th Jun, 2022
Danubio
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Nacional

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Danubio vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Danubio 5.58
Draw 3.98
Nacional 1.63

Half Time Result

Danubio 6.39
Draw 2.3
Nacional 2.2

Double Chance

Danubio or Draw 2.35
Danubio or Nacional 1.27
Draw or Nacional 1.17

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.12
No 1.75

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.34
Over 2.5 2.05
Over 3.5 3.66
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.08

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.35
Over 10.5 1.97
Over 11.5 2.09

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 1.74
Over 1.5 4.2

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.85

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined

Danubio vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Danubio vs Nacional?

Over 1.5 Goals — Danubio see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Danubio or Nacional?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Danubio have won 40% of home games, Nacional 40% away in Primera Division. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Danubio and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Danubio are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Danubio and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Danubio are lower at home (20%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Danubio or Nacional?

Nacional have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Danubio's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Danubio and Nacional?

Danubio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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