Deportivo Maldonado vs Atlético Progreso Football Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 14th February, 20:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Deportivo Maldonado sit 1st in the table, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Progreso are 16th, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Deportivo Maldonado have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Atlético Progreso side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Atlético Progreso in 30% away (3/10). Deportivo Maldonado average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Atlético Progreso 0.8 and 1.3 on the road.

Deportivo Maldonado frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Atlético Progreso are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Deportivo Maldonado see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Deportivo Maldonado have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Atlético Progreso in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Deportivo Maldonado (1st) and Atlético Progreso (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 17 10 5 2 24:14 +10 35
2 Deportivo Maldonado H 17 10 3 4 28:18 +10 33
3 Peñarol 17 10 3 4 27:17 +10 33
4 Albion 17 8 5 4 26:17 +9 29
5 Nacional 17 9 1 7 29:22 +7 28
6 Central Español 17 8 3 6 25:24 +1 27
7 Montevideo City Torque 17 7 5 5 25:19 +6 26
8 Wanderers 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
9 Defensor Sporting 17 5 6 6 14:15 -1 21
10 Liverpool 17 5 6 6 21:20 +1 21
11 Cerro Largo 17 6 2 9 19:20 -1 20
12 Boston River 17 6 2 9 18:24 -6 20
13 Danubio 16 4 6 6 18:24 -6 18
14 Juventud 16 5 3 8 19:22 -3 18
15 Cerro 17 3 4 10 10:28 -18 13
16 Atlético Progreso A 17 2 4 11 13:27 -14 10

Team Form

Deportivo Maldonado have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Progreso's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Deportivo Maldonado frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlético Progreso are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Deportivo Maldonado have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Progreso in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Deportivo Maldonado (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Deportivo Maldonado have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Atlético Progreso (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Deportivo Maldonado and Atlético Progreso. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

06 Oct 2024
Deportivo Maldonado
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Jul 2024
Progreso
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2024
Progreso
3 – 1 HT: 2-1
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Oct 2021
Progreso
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jun 2021
Deportivo Maldonado
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Mar 2021
Progreso
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Sep 2020
Deportivo Maldonado
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Nov 2017
Deportivo Maldonado
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Jun 2017
Progreso
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Nov 2016
Deportivo Maldonado
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Progreso
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Deportivo Maldonado vs Atlético Progreso across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Deportivo Maldonado 2.35
Draw 3.2
Atlético Progreso 2.75

Half Time Result

Deportivo Maldonado 3.25
Draw 2.07
Atlético Progreso 3.65

Double Chance

Deportivo Maldonado or Draw 1.42
Deportivo Maldonado or Atlético Progreso 1.36
Draw or Atlético Progreso 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.93
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.45
Over 2.5 2.4
Over 3.5 4.8
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 2.5 1.68
Under 3.5 1.26

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.18

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.47
Over 9.5 1.83
Over 10.5 2.32
Over 11.5 2.9

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.62
Over 2.5 8

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 3
Over 2.5 7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Deportivo Maldonado vs Atlético Progreso Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Atlético Progreso?

Under 3.5 Goals — Deportivo Maldonado have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Atlético Progreso in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Deportivo Maldonado or Atlético Progreso?

Deportivo Maldonado hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Atlético Progreso have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Atlético Progreso?

Possibly — Deportivo Maldonado frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Atlético Progreso are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Atlético Progreso?

Uncertain — Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Atlético Progreso in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Deportivo Maldonado or Atlético Progreso?

Deportivo Maldonado have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Atlético Progreso's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Atlético Progreso?

Unlikely — Deportivo Maldonado (20% Over 8.5 at home) and Atlético Progreso (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Primera Division.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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