Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 11th April, 23:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Deportivo Maldonado hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Nacional are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Deportivo Maldonado frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Nacional are more variable on the road (60%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Deportivo Maldonado are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Nacional regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Deportivo Maldonado (3rd) and Nacional (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 10 7 2 1 18:9 +9 23
2 Peñarol 10 7 1 2 17:8 +9 22
3 Deportivo Maldonado H 10 6 1 3 15:10 +5 19
4 Central Español 10 5 2 3 14:11 +3 17
5 Nacional A 10 5 1 4 14:11 +3 16
6 Montevideo City Torque 10 4 3 3 14:11 +3 15
7 Wanderers 10 4 2 4 11:15 -4 14
8 Danubio 10 3 4 3 12:13 -1 13
9 Cerro Largo 10 4 1 5 12:13 -1 13
10 Albion 10 3 4 3 13:12 +1 13
11 Liverpool 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
12 Defensor Sporting 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
13 Boston River 10 3 2 5 9:11 -2 11
14 Cerro 10 2 2 6 5:14 -9 8
15 Atlético Progreso 10 1 4 5 9:17 -8 7
16 Juventud 10 1 1 8 9:17 -8 4

Team Form

Deportivo Maldonado hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Nacional have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Nacional regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Deportivo Maldonado are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Deportivo Maldonado have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Nacional in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Deportivo Maldonado have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Deportivo Maldonado (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Jan 2026
Nacional
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Nov 2024
Nacional
5 – 2 HT: 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 May 2024
Deportivo Maldonado
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Oct 2023
Nacional
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Jun 2023
Nacional
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Mar 2023
Deportivo Maldonado
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jul 2022
Deportivo Maldonado
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Feb 2022
Nacional
2 – 3 HT: 0-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Nov 2021
Deportivo Maldonado
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Aug 2021
Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Deportivo Maldonado
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Deportivo Maldonado 3.92
Draw 1.03
Nacional 1.94

Half Time Result

Deportivo Maldonado 4.75
Draw 2.1
Nacional 2.6

Double Chance

Deportivo Maldonado or Draw 1.8
Deportivo Maldonado or Nacional 1.33
Draw or Nacional 1.2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.01
No 1.01

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.39
Over 2.5 2.03
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 1.5 3.1
Under 2.5 1.63
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5 1.57
Over 1.5 3.75

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe FC Barcelona have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Atlético Madrid have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    91% combined
  • Stuttgart II vs Ulm 18:00 BST | 3. Liga, Germany Stuttgart II have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 home matches this season · Ulm have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    73% combined
  • Tapatío vs Tlaxcala 00:00 BST | Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico Tapatío have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Tlaxcala have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    71% combined
  • Verl vs Hansa Rostock 18:00 BST | 3. Liga, Germany Verl have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/15 home matches this season · Hansa Rostock have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.94
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Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Deportivo Maldonado or Nacional?

Deportivo Maldonado hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Primera Division this season, while Nacional have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional?

Mixed — Deportivo Maldonado have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional?

Uncertain — Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Deportivo Maldonado or Nacional?

Deportivo Maldonado have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Nacional's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional?

Deportivo Maldonado have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Nacional in 60% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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