Derby County vs Oxford United — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 12:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Derby County hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Oxford United are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Derby County 80% at home, Oxford United 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Derby County and Oxford United frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Oxford United often produce high corner totals away (100%), while Derby County are lower at home (40%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Derby County see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Oxford United in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Derby County (th) and Oxford United (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 42 25 10 7 84:42 +42 85
2 Ipswich Town 40 21 12 7 71:40 +31 75
3 Millwall 42 21 10 11 56:47 +9 73
4 Middlesbrough 42 20 12 10 62:42 +20 72
5 Southampton 41 19 12 10 70:50 +20 69
6 Hull City 42 20 8 14 64:60 +4 68
7 Wrexham 42 17 13 12 63:60 +3 64
8 Derby County H 42 18 9 15 61:53 +8 63
9 Norwich City 42 17 7 18 55:50 +5 58
10 Bristol City 42 16 10 16 52:51 +1 58
11 Queens Park Rangers 42 16 10 16 58:63 -5 58
12 Preston North End 42 14 15 13 50:53 -3 57
13 Swansea City 42 16 9 17 50:54 -4 57
14 Watford 42 14 15 13 52:51 +1 57
15 Birmingham City 42 15 11 16 51:52 -1 56
16 Stoke City 42 15 10 17 49:46 +3 55
17 Sheffield United 42 16 6 20 59:59 0 54
18 Charlton Athletic 42 12 13 17 39:51 -12 49
19 Blackburn Rovers 42 12 12 18 38:50 -12 48
20 Leicester City 42 11 14 17 54:64 -10 47
21 West Bromwich Albion 42 11 13 18 42:56 -14 46
22 Portsmouth 41 11 12 18 41:57 -16 45
23 Oxford United A 42 10 14 18 41:54 -13 44
24 Sheffield Wednesday 42 1 11 30 25:82 -57 14

Team Form

Derby County hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Oxford United have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derby County have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Oxford United in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Derby County 80% at home, Oxford United 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Derby County have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Oxford United in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Oxford United frequently reach high corner counts away from home (100%), while Derby County are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Derby County have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Oxford United have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), but also concede 7+ corners in 80% of away matches, giving home sides significant set-piece opportunities.

Corners Won

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Derby County (Home Form) Oxford United (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 10 (100%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 8 (80%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Derby County vs Oxford United across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Derby County 1.84
Draw 3.6
Oxford United 4.28

Half Time Result

Derby County 2.42
Draw 2.07
Oxford United 5.05

Double Chance

Derby County or Draw 1.19
Derby County or Oxford United 1.28
Draw or Oxford United 1.93

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.84
No 1.85

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.04
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 3.4
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 3.5 1.29

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.01

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17
Over 9.5 1.3
Over 10.5 1.53
Over 11.5 1.83

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.96

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.64

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Derby County vs Oxford United?

Over 1.5 Goals — Derby County see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Oxford United in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Derby County or Oxford United?

Derby County hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Championship this season, while Oxford United have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Derby County and Oxford United?

Possibly — Oxford United regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Derby County are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Derby County and Oxford United?

Uncertain — Derby County have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Oxford United in 60% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Derby County or Oxford United?

Oxford United have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Derby County's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Derby County and Oxford United?

Possibly — Oxford United frequently reach high corner counts away (100%), while Derby County are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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