Derby County vs Southampton — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Derby County (60% home wins) hold a slight edge over Southampton on the road (80% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Derby County 80% at home, Southampton 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Derby County and Southampton frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 80% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Derby County see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Southampton in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Derby County (20th) and Southampton (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 43 25 11 7 85:43 +42 86
2 Ipswich Town 42 21 13 8 73:44 +29 76
3 Millwall 43 22 10 11 58:47 +11 76
4 Southampton A 43 21 12 10 75:51 +24 75
5 Middlesbrough 43 20 13 10 64:44 +20 73
6 Hull City 43 20 9 14 65:61 +4 69
7 Wrexham 43 18 13 12 65:60 +5 67
8 Derby County H 43 19 9 15 62:53 +9 66
9 Norwich City 43 18 7 18 59:52 +7 61
10 Bristol City 43 16 10 17 54:55 -1 58
11 Queens Park Rangers 43 16 10 17 58:65 -7 58
12 Sheffield United 43 17 6 20 61:59 +2 57
13 Preston North End 43 14 15 14 50:55 -5 57
14 Birmingham City 43 15 12 16 52:53 -1 57
15 Swansea City 43 16 9 18 51:56 -5 57
16 Watford 43 14 15 14 52:53 -1 57
17 Stoke City 43 15 10 18 49:48 +1 55
18 Portsmouth 43 13 12 18 44:57 -13 51
19 Charlton Athletic 43 12 14 17 40:52 -12 50
20 Blackburn Rovers 44 12 13 19 39:54 -15 49
21 West Bromwich Albion 43 12 13 18 44:56 -12 49
22 Leicester City 43 11 14 18 54:65 -11 47
23 Oxford United 43 10 14 19 41:55 -14 44
24 Sheffield Wednesday 43 1 12 30 26:83 -57 15

Team Form

Derby County have lost 30% of their home matches this season, while Southampton have been more resilient on the road (0% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derby County have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Southampton in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Derby County 80% at home, Southampton 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Derby County have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Southampton in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Southampton frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Derby County are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Derby County have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Southampton have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Derby County (Home Form) Southampton (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Derby County and Southampton. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

16th Jan, 2019
Southampton
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Derby County
Corners 8–5 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Jan, 2019
Derby County
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Southampton
Corners 1–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Jul, 2018
Derby County
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Southampton
Corners 6–2 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Feb, 2012
Southampton
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Derby County
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Oct, 2011
Derby County
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Southampton
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Mar, 2009
Southampton
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Derby County
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Aug, 2008
Derby County
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Southampton
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th May, 2007
Derby County
2 – 3 HT:
Southampton
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th May, 2007
Southampton
1 – 2 HT:
Derby County
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Feb, 2007
Southampton
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Derby County
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Derby County vs Southampton across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Derby County 3.4
Draw 3.4
Southampton 2.28

Half Time Result

Derby County 4.33
Draw 2.13
Southampton 2.95

Double Chance

Derby County or Draw 1.71
Derby County or Southampton 1.36
Draw or Southampton 1.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.98

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.32
Over 3.5 4.6
Under 1.5 3.2
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.48
Over 1.5 3.39

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44
Over 9.5 1.72
Over 10.5 2.2
Over 11.5 2.24

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.52
Over 1.5 3.44
Over 2.5 5.65

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.54
Over 2.5 4.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23 15:00 BST | Liga Revelacao U23, Portugal Rio Ave U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/14 home matches this season · Portimonense U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    79% combined
  • Schwechat vs Red Star Penzing 18:00 BST | Landesliga: Wien, Austria Schwechat have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Red Star Penzing have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined
  • Dergview vs Strabane Athletic 19:45 BST | Premier Intermediate League, Northern Ireland Dergview have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Strabane Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    74% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Swansea City U21 14:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 home matches this season · Swansea City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    69% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.22
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Derby County vs Southampton Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Derby County vs Southampton?

Over 1.5 Goals — Derby County see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Southampton in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Derby County or Southampton?

Southampton hold a slight form advantage away (80% wins) over Derby County at home (60% wins) in Championship. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Derby County and Southampton?

Possibly — Southampton regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Derby County are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Derby County and Southampton?

Uncertain — Derby County have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Southampton in 60% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Derby County or Southampton?

Southampton have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Derby County's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Derby County and Southampton?

Possibly — Southampton frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Derby County are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

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