Derio vs Durango

📍 Tercera - Group 4, Spain
🕒 Thursday 19th March, 16:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Derio sit 6th in the table after 24 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Durango are 9th after 24 games, averaging 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Derio have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Durango have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Derio have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Durango are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home.

Derio frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Durango are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Derio see 9+ corners in 0% of home games, Durango in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Derio see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Durango in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 4 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Derio (6th) and Durango (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 4 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 +41 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 +16 61
3 Derio H 34 17 7 10 54:40 +14 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 +20 57
5 Touring 34 16 9 9 47:35 +12 57
6 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 +10 55
7 Aurrerá Vitoria 34 16 7 11 42:40 +2 55
8 Real Sociedad III 34 16 5 13 47:39 +8 53
9 Deportivo Alavés III 34 14 9 11 56:40 +16 51
10 Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 -5 45
11 Durango A 34 11 11 12 35:36 -1 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 -13 39
13 Añorga 33 11 4 18 37:56 -19 37
14 Eibar III 34 9 9 16 44:53 -9 36
15 Pasaia KE 34 8 10 16 23:46 -23 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 -17 33
17 Zarautz 34 8 6 20 30:60 -30 30
18 Deusto 33 6 7 20 24:46 -22 25

Team Form

Durango have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Derio have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derio frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Durango are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Derio frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Durango are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Derio have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Durango in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Derio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Durango in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Derio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Durango have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Derio (Home Form) Durango (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Derio and Durango. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

08 Nov 2025
Durango
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Derio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Feb 2025
Derio
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Durango
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2024
Durango
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Derio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2024
Durango
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Derio
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Dec 2023
Derio
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Durango
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Derio vs Durango across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Derio 2.44
Draw 3.4
Durango 3

Half Time Result

Derio 3.1
Draw 2.05
Durango 3.4

Double Chance

Derio or Draw 1.3
Derio or Durango 1.28
Draw or Durango 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.79
No 2.06

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.06
Over 3.5 3.7
Under 1.5 3.56
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 3.5 1.35

1st Half Goals

Over 1.5 3.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Flora II vs Nõmme United II 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Flora II have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Nõmme United II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • Spittal vs SAK Klagenfurt 17:30 BST | Landesliga: Kärnten, Austria Spittal have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · SAK Klagenfurt have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
  • Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United 08:00 BST | OFC Professional League, Asia Tahiti United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Vanuatu United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.85
    75% combined
  • Pogon Szczecin II vs Elana Toruń 16:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 2, Poland Pogon Szczecin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/15 home matches this season · Elana Toruń have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/16 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    74% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.42
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Derio vs Durango Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Derio vs Durango?

Over 1.5 Goals — Derio see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Durango in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Derio or Durango?

Derio have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Durango on the road (20% wins) in Tercera - Group 4. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Derio and Durango?

Possibly — Derio frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Durango are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Derio and Durango?

Possibly — Derio frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Durango are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Derio or Durango?

Derio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Durango's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Derio and Durango?

Derio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Durango in 40% of away games in Tercera - Group 4. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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