Dorados vs Morelia Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 21st February, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Dorados sit 10th in the table after 18 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Morelia are 3rd after 21 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Dorados have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Morelia have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Dorados have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Morelia in 40% away (4/10). Dorados average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Morelia 0.9 and 1.3 on the road.

Dorados frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Morelia are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Dorados see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, Morelia in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Dorados see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Morelia in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Dorados (10th) and Morelia (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia A 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados H 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Dorados have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Dorados frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Morelia are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Dorados have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Dorados have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Morelia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Dorados have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Dorados have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Dorados (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Dorados and Morelia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

14 Sep 2025
Morelia
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Dorados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2025
Dorados
5 – 1 HT: 3-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Aug 2024
Morelia
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Dorados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Mar 2024
Dorados
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2023
Morelia
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Dorados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Mar 2023
Dorados
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Sep 2022
Morelia
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Dorados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Mar 2022
Morelia
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Dorados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Aug 2021
Dorados
3 – 1 HT: 2-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Apr 2021
Dorados
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Dorados vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Dorados 3.5
Draw 3.8
Morelia 2

Half Time Result

Dorados 4.3
Draw 2.25
Morelia 2.51

Double Chance

Dorados or Draw 1.72
Dorados or Morelia 1.22
Draw or Morelia 1.2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7
No 2.24

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.64
Over 3.5 3.2
Under 1.5 4.3
Under 2.5 2.1
Under 3.5 1.44

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.67

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.92
Over 11.5 2.37

Dorados Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.88

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.84

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Dorados vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Dorados vs Morelia?

Over 1.5 Goals — Dorados see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, Morelia in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Dorados or Morelia?

Dorados have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Morelia on the road (20% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Dorados and Morelia?

Possibly — Dorados frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Morelia are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Dorados and Morelia?

Uncertain — Dorados have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Dorados or Morelia?

Morelia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Dorados's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Dorados and Morelia?

Dorados have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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