El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Football Stats

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador
🕒 Sunday 28th September, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

El Nacional sit 11th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per home match this season. Mushuc Runa are 16th after 27 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. El Nacional have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Mushuc Runa have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

El Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Mushuc Runa in 60% away (6/10). El Nacional average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, Mushuc Runa 0.8 and 1.8 on the road.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — El Nacional in 60% of home games (6/10), Mushuc Runa in 60% away (6/10). El Nacional have scored in 70% of home fixtures; Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — El Nacional see 8+ in 70% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — El Nacional see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga Pro table for the 2025 season, with El Nacional (11th) and Mushuc Runa (16th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Pro 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 14 10 2 39:17 +22 52
2 LDU Quito 27 14 7 6 49:29 +20 49
3 Macará 26 14 6 6 43:22 +21 48
4 Emelec 26 12 6 8 34:31 +3 42
5 Deportivo Cuenca 26 11 6 9 40:29 +11 39
6 Universidad Católica 26 9 11 6 44:34 +10 38
7 Barcelona Guayaquil 27 10 8 9 36:34 +2 38
8 Libertad 26 9 10 7 35:32 +3 37
9 Aucas 26 10 6 10 39:38 +1 36
10 Orense 26 9 8 9 26:29 -3 35
11 El Nacional H 25 8 5 12 26:48 -22 29
12 Manta 22 6 6 10 27:34 -7 24
13 Técnico Universitario 22 6 5 11 19:32 -13 23
14 Mushuc Runa A 22 5 6 11 23:32 -9 21
15 Delfin 25 3 10 12 19:43 -24 19
16 Vinotinto FC 22 3 4 15 17:32 -15 13

Team Form

Mushuc Runa have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while El Nacional have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

El Nacional have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

El Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

El Nacional have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mushuc Runa in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 16 (1.6 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both El Nacional (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Mushuc Runa (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

El Nacional have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Mushuc Runa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

El Nacional (Home Form) Mushuc Runa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between El Nacional and Mushuc Runa. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

1st Jun, 2025
Mushuc Runa
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
El Nacional
Corners 3–2 Cards 4–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Nov, 2024
Mushuc Runa
2 – 2 HT: 2-0
El Nacional
Corners 10–4 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2024
El Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mushuc Runa
Corners 3–8 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Oct, 2024
Mushuc Runa
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
El Nacional
Corners 4–7 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th May, 2024
El Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mushuc Runa
Corners 5–10 Cards 0–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Oct, 2023
El Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mushuc Runa
Corners 10–6 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th May, 2023
Mushuc Runa
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
El Nacional
Corners 7–6 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Sep, 2022
Mushuc Runa
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
El Nacional
Corners 7–7 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2022
El Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Mushuc Runa
Corners 4–7 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Oct, 2020
El Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Mushuc Runa
Corners 5–11 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

El Nacional 2.64
Draw 3.35
Mushuc Runa 2.92

Half Time Result

El Nacional 2.79
Draw 2.28
Mushuc Runa 3.57

Double Chance

El Nacional or Draw 1.35
El Nacional or Mushuc Runa 1.33
Draw or Mushuc Runa 1.64

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2.01
Over 3.5 3.65
Under 1.5 3.8
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.36

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.76

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.1
Over 9.5 1.29
Over 10.5 1.86
Over 11.5 1.96

El Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.21
Over 1.5 2.23
Over 2.5 4.5

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.88
Over 2.5 6.8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for El Nacional vs Mushuc Runa?

Over 1.5 Goals — El Nacional see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, El Nacional or Mushuc Runa?

El Nacional have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Mushuc Runa on the road (0% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between El Nacional and Mushuc Runa?

Mixed — El Nacional have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between El Nacional and Mushuc Runa?

Uncertain — El Nacional have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: El Nacional or Mushuc Runa?

El Nacional have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Mushuc Runa's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between El Nacional and Mushuc Runa?

El Nacional have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Mushuc Runa in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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