Emelec vs El Nacional Football Stats

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador
🕒 Sunday 21st September, 16:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Emelec sit 9th in the table after 27 games, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. El Nacional are 11th after 27 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. Emelec have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; El Nacional have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Emelec in 90% of home games, El Nacional in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Emelec at 40% in home games (4/10), El Nacional at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Emelec see 9+ corners in 50% of home games, El Nacional in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Emelec see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, El Nacional in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga Pro table for the 2025 season, with Emelec (9th) and El Nacional (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Pro 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 14 10 2 39:17 +22 52
2 LDU Quito 27 14 7 6 49:29 +20 49
3 Macará 26 14 6 6 43:22 +21 48
4 Emelec H 26 12 6 8 34:31 +3 42
5 Deportivo Cuenca 26 11 6 9 40:29 +11 39
6 Universidad Católica 26 9 11 6 44:34 +10 38
7 Barcelona Guayaquil 27 10 8 9 36:34 +2 38
8 Libertad 26 9 10 7 35:32 +3 37
9 Aucas 26 10 6 10 39:38 +1 36
10 Orense 26 9 8 9 26:29 -3 35
11 El Nacional A 25 8 5 12 26:48 -22 29
12 Manta 22 6 6 10 27:34 -7 24
13 Técnico Universitario 22 6 5 11 19:32 -13 23
14 Mushuc Runa 22 5 6 11 23:32 -9 21
15 Delfin 25 3 10 12 19:43 -24 19
16 Vinotinto FC 22 3 4 15 17:32 -15 13

Team Form

El Nacional have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Emelec have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 3 (30%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Emelec have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, El Nacional in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Emelec 90% at home, El Nacional 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Emelec have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, El Nacional in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Emelec have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, El Nacional in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Emelec have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

El Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Emelec (Home Form) El Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Emelec and El Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

25th May, 2025
El Nacional
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Emelec
Corners 8–1 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Aug, 2024
Emelec
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
El Nacional
Corners 6–1 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Mar, 2024
El Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Emelec
Corners 6–2 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Sep, 2023
El Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Emelec
Corners 3–1 Cards 5–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Apr, 2023
Emelec
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
El Nacional
Corners 6–5 Cards 4–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Dec, 2020
Emelec
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
El Nacional
Corners 9–3 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Sep, 2020
El Nacional
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Emelec
Corners 1–7 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Aug, 2019
El Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Emelec
Corners 4–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Mar, 2019
Emelec
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
El Nacional
Corners 12–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Oct, 2018
El Nacional
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Emelec
Corners 10–6 Cards 4–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Emelec vs El Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Emelec 1.58
Draw 3.96
El Nacional 5.91

Half Time Result

Emelec 2.04
Draw 2.49
El Nacional 5.94

Double Chance

Emelec or Draw 1.14
Emelec or El Nacional 1.26
Draw or El Nacional 2.42

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.93
No 1.87

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.26
Under 1.5 3.62
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 3.5 1.34

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.47

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36
Over 9.5 1.66
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.37

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.83
Over 2.5 3.75

El Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.72
Over 1.5 4.5
Over 2.5 17

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Emelec vs El Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Emelec vs El Nacional?

Over 1.5 Goals — Emelec see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, El Nacional in 90% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Emelec or El Nacional?

Emelec have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over El Nacional on the road (10% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Emelec and El Nacional?

Mixed — Emelec have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, El Nacional in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Emelec and El Nacional?

Uncertain — Emelec have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, El Nacional in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Emelec or El Nacional?

El Nacional have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Emelec's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Emelec and El Nacional?

Emelec have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, El Nacional in 40% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Leones del Norte vs Macará

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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