Emelec vs Libertad

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 21:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Emelec sit 15th in the table after 9 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Libertad are 14th after 9 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Emelec have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Libertad have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Emelec in 90% of home games, Libertad in 90% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Libertad regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Emelec are lower at home (40%, 4/10) — they've conceded in 70% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Emelec see 8+ in 80% of home games, Libertad in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Emelec have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Libertad in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Pro table for the 2026 season, with Emelec (15th) and Libertad (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Pro 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 13 10 1 2 23:13 +10 31
2 Aucas 13 6 4 3 16:12 +4 22
3 Universidad Católica 13 6 4 3 22:10 +12 22
4 Deportivo Cuenca 13 6 2 5 15:16 -1 20
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 13 5 5 3 13:11 +2 20
6 Orense 13 5 4 4 19:17 +2 19
7 Guayaquil City 13 5 3 5 10:12 -2 18
8 LDU Quito 12 5 2 5 10:10 0 17
9 Macará 12 4 4 4 13:12 +1 16
10 Mushuc Runa 12 4 4 4 15:13 +2 16
11 Delfin 13 4 3 6 5:10 -5 15
12 Técnico Universitario 13 4 2 7 13:13 0 14
13 Emelec H 12 4 2 6 9:15 -6 14
14 Libertad A 12 3 4 5 11:16 -5 13
15 Leones del Norte 13 3 4 6 10:14 -4 13
16 Manta 12 2 2 8 4:14 -10 8

Team Form

Libertad have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Emelec have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Libertad regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Emelec are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Emelec 90% at home, Libertad 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Emelec have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Libertad in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Emelec (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Libertad (90% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Emelec have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Libertad have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Emelec (Home Form) Libertad (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Emelec and Libertad. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Aug 2025
Libertad
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Emelec
12 Apr 2025
Emelec
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Libertad
30 Nov 2024
Libertad
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Emelec
01 Jun 2024
Emelec
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Libertad
05 Aug 2023
Libertad
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Emelec
27 Feb 2023
Emelec
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Libertad

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Emelec vs Libertad across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Emelec 1.62
Draw 3.7
Libertad 5.25

Half Time Result

Emelec 2.27
Draw 2.08
Libertad 5.55

Double Chance

Emelec or Draw 1.14
Emelec or Libertad 1.25
Draw or Libertad 2.12

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.73

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 3.5 3.55
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 3.5 1.27

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.9

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.08
Over 9.5 1.16
Over 10.5 1.56
Over 11.5 1.96

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 1.9

Libertad Goals

Over 0.5 1.72
Over 1.5 4.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Paide 15:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Paide have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • New York City vs Columbus Crew 21:30 BST | Major League Soccer, United States New York City have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/7 home matches this season · Columbus Crew have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    85% combined
  • Kwun Tong vs Hoi King 08:30 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Kwun Tong have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Hoi King have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    82% combined
  • Jagiellonia U19 vs Zaglebie U19 14:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Jagiellonia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 13/13 home matches this season · Zaglebie U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined

Emelec vs Libertad Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Libertad?

Under 3.5 Goals — Emelec have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Libertad in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Emelec or Libertad?

Emelec have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Libertad on the road (0% wins) in Liga Pro. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Emelec and Libertad?

Mixed — Emelec have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Pro fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Emelec and Libertad?

Uncertain — Emelec have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Libertad in 50% of away games in Liga Pro. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Emelec or Libertad?

Emelec have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Libertad's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Emelec and Libertad?

Emelec have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Libertad in 60% of away games in Liga Pro. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Aucas vs Universidad Católica

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 10th May, 19:00 BST

Emelec vs Libertad

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Sunday 10th May, 21:30 BST

Manta vs Macará

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Monday 11th May, 00:10 BST

Mushuc Runa vs LDU Quito

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Tuesday 12th May, 01:00 BST

LDU Quito vs Técnico Universitario

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Friday 15th May, 22:30 BST

Libertad vs Deportivo Cuenca

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 01:00 BST

Macará vs Independiente del Valle

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 20:00 BST

Universidad Católica vs Delfin

📍 Liga Pro, Ecuador

🕒 Saturday 16th May, 22:30 BST

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