Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 3. Liga, Germany
🕒 Friday 8th May, 18:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 3.5 Goals

Erzgebirge Aue (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over MSV Duisburg on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Erzgebirge Aue consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Erzgebirge Aue often see both teams score at home (70%), while MSV Duisburg are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Erzgebirge Aue regularly reach high corner totals at home (80%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals — Erzgebirge Aue have seen 4+ goals in 60% of home games, MSV Duisburg in 50% of away games. Both sides have featured in high-scoring matches regularly this season.

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League Table

The full 3. Liga table for the 2025/2026 season, with Erzgebirge Aue (th) and MSV Duisburg (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

3. Liga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Osnabrück 35 22 7 6 58:28 +30 73
2 Energie Cottbus 35 19 9 7 68:48 +20 66
3 Rot-Weiss Essen 35 18 10 7 73:58 +15 64
4 MSV Duisburg A 35 18 9 8 63:47 +16 63
5 Hansa Rostock 36 16 13 7 65:43 +22 61
6 Verl 36 17 10 9 79:47 +32 61
7 Alemannia Aachen 36 17 7 12 67:56 +11 58
8 1860 München 36 15 11 10 53:48 +5 56
9 Wehen Wiesbaden 35 14 8 13 49:47 +2 50
10 Jahn Regensburg 36 14 7 15 54:56 -2 49
11 Waldhof Mannheim 36 14 7 15 57:67 -10 49
12 Viktoria Köln 35 14 5 16 48:49 -1 47
13 Saarbrücken 36 10 14 12 46:50 -4 44
14 Stuttgart II 35 12 7 16 45:59 -14 43
15 Ingolstadt 35 11 10 14 55:49 +6 43
16 Hoffenheim II 36 11 7 18 62:67 -5 40
17 Havelse 36 8 8 20 53:81 -28 32
18 Ulm 35 9 5 21 46:72 -26 32
19 Erzgebirge Aue H 35 5 12 18 42:65 -23 27
20 Schweinfurt 36 5 6 25 34:80 -46 21

Team Form

Erzgebirge Aue have won 10% of home games this season, MSV Duisburg 30% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Erzgebirge Aue frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while MSV Duisburg are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Erzgebirge Aue frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Erzgebirge Aue have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, MSV Duisburg in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 21 (2.1 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Erzgebirge Aue regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Erzgebirge Aue have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 80% of home matches — opponents do get their share of set-pieces.

MSV Duisburg have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Erzgebirge Aue (Home Form) MSV Duisburg (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nagykanizsa W vs PELC-Nyárád W 11:00 BST | Nöi NB II, Hungary Nagykanizsa W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · PELC-Nyárád W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    93% combined
  • Hills United vs Mt Druitt Town 08:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Hills United have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Spartaan'20 U21 vs Westlandia U21 11:45 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Spartaan'20 U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Westlandia U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    87% combined
  • Mendrisio vs YF Juventus 16:00 BST | 1.Liga Classic, Switzerland Mendrisio have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · YF Juventus have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.09
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Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg?

Over 3.5 Goals — Erzgebirge Aue have seen 4+ goals in 60% of home games, MSV Duisburg in 50% of away games. Both sides have featured in high-scoring matches regularly this season.

Which team is likely to win, Erzgebirge Aue or MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Erzgebirge Aue at home (10% wins) in 3. Liga. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg?

Possibly — Erzgebirge Aue frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg?

Possibly — Erzgebirge Aue frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Erzgebirge Aue or MSV Duisburg?

MSV Duisburg have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Erzgebirge Aue's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Erzgebirge Aue and MSV Duisburg?

Possibly — Erzgebirge Aue regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while MSV Duisburg are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Osnabrück vs Ulm

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Match Stats

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