Estonia vs Italy Football Stats

📍 WC Qualification Europe, Europe
🕒 Saturday 11th October, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Italy to Win

Estonia sit 4th in the table after 5 games, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per home match this season. Italy are 2nd after 3 games, averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. Italy carry the better away form into this fixture (3/5, 60%), while Estonia have won 0/4 at home (0%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Estonia in 75% of home games, Italy in 100% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Estonia in 75% of home games (3/4), Italy in 60% away (3/5). Estonia have scored in 75% of home fixtures; Italy in 80% of away games.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Estonia see 9+ corners in 25% of home games, Italy in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Italy to Win — the visitors have won 3/10 away games this season (60%), while Estonia have lost 3/10 at home (75%). The data points clearly to an away win.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full WC Qualification Europe table for the 2026 season, with Estonia (4th) and Italy (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

WC Qualification Europe 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Italy A 10 7 1 2 24:13 +11 22
2 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 +22 22
3 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 +23 20
4 Türkiye 8 6 1 1 19:12 +7 19
5 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 +18 19
6 England 6 6 0 0 17:0 +17 18
7 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 +22 18
8 Norway 6 6 0 0 28:3 +25 18
9 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 +19 16
10 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 +12 16
11 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 +13 15
12 Denmark 8 4 3 1 22:9 +13 15
13 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 +12 14
14 Kosovo 8 4 2 2 10:9 +1 14
15 Poland 8 4 2 2 15:11 +4 14
16 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 -1 13
17 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 +13 13
18 Wales 7 4 1 2 18:10 +8 13
19 Bosnia and Herzegovina 8 3 4 1 16:8 +8 13
20 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 +6 13
21 Slovakia 7 4 0 3 9:12 -3 12
22 Faroe Islands 6 4 0 2 10:6 +4 12
23 Czech Republic 8 3 3 2 16:11 +5 12
24 Albania 7 3 2 2 5:5 0 11
25 Republic of Ireland 7 3 2 2 11:9 +2 11
26 Ukraine 7 3 1 3 11:14 -3 10
27 Romania 7 3 1 3 14:9 +5 10
28 Northern Ireland 7 3 0 4 7:8 -1 9
29 North Macedonia 7 2 3 2 9:13 -4 9
30 Israel 6 3 0 3 15:15 0 9
31 Sweden 8 2 2 4 10:15 -5 8
32 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 +1 8
33 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 +2 7
34 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 -2 7
35 Finland 6 2 0 4 5:12 -7 6
36 Malta 6 1 2 3 4:16 -12 5
37 Kazakhstan 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
38 Cyprus 6 1 2 3 8:9 -1 5
39 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 -5 4
40 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 -16 3
41 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 -8 3
42 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 -16 3
43 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:16 -12 3
44 Latvia 6 0 2 4 4:12 -8 2
45 Lithuania 6 0 2 4 4:12 -8 2
46 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 -13 2
47 Andorra 6 0 1 5 3:12 -9 1
48 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 -13 1
49 Moldova 6 0 1 5 3:24 -21 1
50 Estonia H 6 0 1 5 4:17 -13 1
51 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 -12 0
52 Liechtenstein 6 0 0 6 0:26 -26 0
53 Gibraltar 6 0 0 6 2:21 -19 0
54 San Marino 6 0 0 6 1:32 -31 0

Team Form

Italy have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Estonia have been less dominant at home (0%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Won 0 (0%) 3 (60%)
Drawn 1 (25%) 1 (20%)
Lost 3 (75%) 1 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Estonia have seen both teams score in 75% of home games this season, Italy in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (75%) 3 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Estonia 75% at home, Italy 100% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Over 0.5 Goals 4 (100%) 5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 3 (75%) 5 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (50%) 3 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (50%) 2 (40%)

Under Goals

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Under 0.5 Goals 6 (0%) 5 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 7 (25%) 5 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (50%) 7 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (50%) 8 (60%)

Team Goals

Estonia have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Italy in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 3 (75%) 4 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 3 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (100%) 4 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (50%) 2 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (50%) 2 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (20%)

Goal Totals

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Total Goals Scored 3 (0.75 avg) 11 (2.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (2 avg) 9 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Estonia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 25% of home games, Italy in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Over 7.5 Corners 2 (50%) 5 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 1 (25%) 2 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (25%) 2 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (40%)

Team Corners

Estonia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 25% of home matches.

Italy have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (25%) 2 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Estonia (Home Form) Italy (Away Form)
Last X Matches 4 5
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (50%) 2 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (25%) 2 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (25%) 1 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (25%) 1 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Estonia and Italy. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

5th Sep, 2025
Italy
5 – 0 HT: 0-0
Estonia
Corners 12–3 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11th Nov, 2020
Italy
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Estonia
Corners 7–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Jun, 2011
Italy
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Estonia
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Sep, 2010
Estonia
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Italy
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Estonia vs Italy across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Estonia 60
Draw 17
Italy 1.06

Half Time Result

Estonia 21
Draw 4.18
Italy 1.3

Double Chance

Estonia or Draw 10.02
Estonia or Italy 1.05
Draw or Italy 1.01

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.5
No 1.5

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.1
Over 2.5 1.3
Over 3.5 1.82
Under 1.5 10.09
Under 2.5 3.5
Under 3.5 1.97

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.19
Over 1.5 1.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.35
Over 9.5 1.61
Over 10.5 2.31
Over 11.5 2.5

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5 2.64
Over 1.5 11

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.15

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Estonia vs Italy Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Estonia vs Italy?

Italy to Win — the visitors have won 3/10 (60%) of their last 10 away games, while Estonia have lost 3/10 (75%) of their last 10 home matches. The data points clearly to an away win.

Which team is likely to win, Estonia or Italy?

Italy arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in WC Qualification Europe this season compared to Estonia's 0% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Estonia and Italy?

Possibly — Estonia frequently see both teams score at home (75%), while Italy are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Estonia and Italy?

Uncertain — Estonia have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Italy in 60% of away games in WC Qualification Europe. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Estonia or Italy?

Italy have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Estonia's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Estonia and Italy?

Estonia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 25% of home games, Italy in 40% of away games in WC Qualification Europe. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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