Estoril vs Nacional Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 26th October, 15:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Estoril sit 16th in the table after 8 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Nacional are 11th after 8 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Estoril have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Nacional have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Estoril have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Nacional are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home.

Estoril frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Nacional are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Estoril are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Estoril see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Estoril (16th) and Nacional (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril H 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional A 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Nacional have lost 70% of their away matches this season, while Estoril have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Estoril frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Nacional are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Estoril frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Estoril have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Both Estoril (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Nacional (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Estoril have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Estoril (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Estoril and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th Feb, 2025
Nacional
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Estoril
15th Sep, 2024
Estoril
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Nacional
25th Jul, 2021
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Estoril
14th Dec, 2019
Estoril
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Nacional
14th Jul, 2018
Estoril
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Nacional
9th Apr, 2017
Estoril
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
26th Nov, 2016
Nacional
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Estoril
19th Jul, 2016
Nacional
2 – 1 HT:
Estoril
10th Apr, 2016
Nacional
4 – 1 HT: 1-0
Estoril
6th Dec, 2015
Estoril
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Estoril vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Estoril 2.5
Draw 3.2
Nacional 2.9

Half Time Result

Estoril 3.09
Draw 2.21
Nacional 3.78

Double Chance

Estoril or Draw 1.41
Estoril or Nacional 1.33
Draw or Nacional 1.56

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.83
No 2.12

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.37
Over 2.5 2.12
Over 3.5 3.95
Under 1.5 3.6
Under 2.5 1.86
Under 3.5 1.32

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 3.11

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.5
Over 10.5 2.07
Over 11.5 2.32

Estoril Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.49

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.9

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Estoril vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Estoril vs Nacional?

Over 8.5 Corners — Estoril see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Nacional in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Estoril or Nacional?

Estoril have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Nacional on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Estoril and Nacional?

Possibly — Estoril frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Estoril and Nacional?

Possibly — Estoril frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Nacional are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Estoril or Nacional?

Estoril have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Estoril and Nacional?

Yes — both Estoril (80% Over 8.5 at home) and Nacional (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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