Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, Africa
🕒 Tuesday 31st March, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Ethiopia (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over São Tomé and Príncipe on the road (0% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

São Tomé and Príncipe have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Ethiopia are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Ethiopia at 10% at home and São Tomé and Príncipe at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Ethiopia see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, São Tomé and Príncipe in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications table for the 2027 season, with Ethiopia (1st) and São Tomé and Príncipe (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications 2027

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Burundi 2 2 0 0 8:0 +8 6
2 Ethiopia H 2 2 0 0 4:0 +4 6
3 Eritrea 2 2 0 0 4:1 +3 6
4 Lesotho 2 1 1 0 2:1 +1 4
5 South Sudan 2 1 0 1 4:1 +3 3
6 Djibouti 2 1 0 1 1:4 -3 3
7 Somalia 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
8 Mauritius 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
9 Seychelles 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
10 Chad 2 0 0 2 0:8 -8 0
11 São Tomé and Príncipe A 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
12 Eswatini 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0

Team Form

São Tomé and Príncipe have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Ethiopia have been more solid at home (60% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ethiopia (10% BTTS at home) and São Tomé and Príncipe (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

São Tomé and Príncipe regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ethiopia are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Ethiopia have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, São Tomé and Príncipe in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goal Totals

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 8 (0.8 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 28 (2.8 avg)

Match Corners

Ethiopia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, São Tomé and Príncipe in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Ethiopia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Tomé and Príncipe have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Ethiopia (Home Form) São Tomé and Príncipe (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ethiopia and São Tomé and Príncipe. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Mar 2026
São Tomé and Príncipe
0 – 3 HT: 0-2
Ethiopia
11 Oct 2015
Ethiopia
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Tomé and Príncipe
08 Oct 2015
São Tomé and Príncipe
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ethiopia

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Ethiopia 1.34
Draw 4.23
São Tomé and Príncipe 8.23

Half Time Result

Ethiopia 1.81
Draw 2.44
São Tomé and Príncipe 7.2

Double Chance

Ethiopia or Draw 1.07
Ethiopia or São Tomé and Príncipe 1.19
Draw or São Tomé and Príncipe 3.4

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.03
No 1.7

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.7
Over 3.5 2.74
Under 1.5 3.68
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 3.5 1.38

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.53

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.39
Over 9.5 1.6
Over 10.5 2.07
Over 11.5 2.76

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.48

São Tomé and Príncipe Goals

Over 0.5 1.81
Over 1.5 5.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Stirling University W vs East Fife W 14:00 BST | SWPL 2, Scotland Stirling University W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · East Fife W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    100% combined
  • III. Kerületi TUE vs Dunaharaszti MTK 12:00 BST | NB 3: Southeast, Hungary III. Kerületi TUE have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Dunaharaszti MTK have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    91% combined
  • Vojvodina U19 vs Spartak Subotica U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Vojvodina U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Spartak Subotica U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    86% combined
  • Flora vs Transvaal 21:30 BST | Major League, Suriname Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Transvaal have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    84% combined

Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ethiopia vs São Tomé and Príncipe?

Over 1.5 Goals — Ethiopia see 2+ goals in 70% of home games, São Tomé and Príncipe in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Ethiopia or São Tomé and Príncipe?

Ethiopia have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over São Tomé and Príncipe on the road (0% wins) in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Ethiopia and São Tomé and Príncipe?

Unlikely — Ethiopia (10% BTTS at home) and São Tomé and Príncipe (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ethiopia and São Tomé and Príncipe?

Possibly — São Tomé and Príncipe regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Ethiopia are lower at home (30%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ethiopia or São Tomé and Príncipe?

Ethiopia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to São Tomé and Príncipe's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ethiopia and São Tomé and Príncipe?

Ethiopia have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, São Tomé and Príncipe in 40% of away games in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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