Excelsior vs Ajax Football Stats

📍 Eredivisie, Netherlands
🕒 Sunday 1st February, 11:15 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Excelsior sit 13th in the table after 17 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match this season. Ajax are 4th after 18 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. Excelsior have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Ajax have won 3/10 on the road (30%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Excelsior in 90% of home games, Ajax in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

Excelsior frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Ajax are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Excelsior see 9+ corners in 40% of home games, Ajax in 60% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Excelsior see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Ajax in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Eredivisie table for the 2025/2026 season, with Excelsior (13th) and Ajax (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Eredivisie 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 +56 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 +26 65
3 Ajax A 36 15 15 6 65:42 +23 60
4 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 +24 59
5 FC Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 +19 58
6 FC Utrecht 36 16 9 11 59:45 +14 57
7 AZ 34 14 10 10 58:51 +7 52
8 SC Heerenveen 35 14 9 12 59:56 +3 51
9 FC Groningen 35 14 6 15 49:47 +2 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
12 Excelsior H 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
13 Go Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 +1 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
18 Heracles Almelo 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19

Team Form

Excelsior have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Ajax have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Excelsior frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Ajax are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Excelsior 90% at home, Ajax 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Excelsior have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Ajax in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Excelsior have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Excelsior have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Ajax have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Excelsior (Home Form) Ajax (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Excelsior and Ajax. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 Nov 2025
Ajax
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Excelsior
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2024
Ajax
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Excelsior
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Aug 2023
Excelsior
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Jan 2023
Excelsior
1 – 4 HT: 1-2
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Oct 2022
Ajax
7 – 1 HT: 3-0
Excelsior
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2019
Ajax
6 – 2 HT: 3-1
Excelsior
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Nov 2018
Excelsior
1 – 7 HT: 0-2
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 May 2018
Excelsior
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Dec 2017
Ajax
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Excelsior
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Mar 2017
Excelsior
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ajax
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Excelsior vs Ajax across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Excelsior 4.3
Draw 3.8
Ajax 1.87

Half Time Result

Excelsior 4.41
Draw 2.55
Ajax 2.38

Double Chance

Excelsior or Draw 2
Excelsior or Ajax 1.25
Draw or Ajax 1.2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.63
No 2.52

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 3.5 2.66
Under 1.5 5.6
Under 2.5 2.5
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.41

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.34
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.27
Over 11.5 2.49

Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.84

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 1.09
Over 1.5 1.63

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Excelsior vs Ajax?

Over 1.5 Goals — Excelsior see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, Ajax in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Excelsior or Ajax?

Ajax hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Excelsior at home (20% wins) in Eredivisie. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Excelsior and Ajax?

Mixed — Excelsior have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Ajax in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Eredivisie fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Excelsior and Ajax?

Uncertain — Excelsior have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Ajax in 50% of away games in Eredivisie. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Excelsior or Ajax?

Ajax have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Excelsior's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Excelsior and Ajax?

Excelsior have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Ajax in 60% of away games in Eredivisie. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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