Exeter City vs Cardiff City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 EFL Trophy, England
🕒 Tuesday 16th September, 19:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Exeter City (10% home wins) hold a slight edge over Cardiff City on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Cardiff City have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Exeter City are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Cardiff City regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Exeter City are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 80%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Exeter City see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Cardiff City in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full EFL Trophy table for the 2025/2026 season, with Exeter City (3rd) and Cardiff City (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

EFL Trophy 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Luton Town 8 6 0 2 20:10 +10 18
2 Northampton Town 7 6 0 1 15:6 +9 18
3 Doncaster Rovers 7 5 1 1 17:6 +11 16
4 Stockport County 8 4 2 2 16:12 +4 14
5 Huddersfield Town 6 4 1 1 15:5 +10 13
6 Port Vale 6 4 1 1 15:8 +7 13
7 Plymouth Argyle 6 4 0 2 14:8 +6 12
8 Harrogate Town 5 4 0 1 10:5 +5 12
9 Swindon Town 5 4 0 1 12:6 +6 12
10 Bolton Wanderers 5 4 0 1 13:3 +10 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 6 4 0 2 16:12 +4 12
12 Crewe Alexandra 4 3 1 0 13:3 +10 10
13 Colchester United 4 3 0 1 6:3 +3 9
14 Salford City 4 3 0 1 11:10 +1 9
15 Rotherham United 5 3 0 2 14:10 +4 9
16 West Ham United U21 5 3 0 2 12:10 +2 9
17 Stevenage 4 3 0 1 13:6 +7 9
18 Lincoln City 4 3 0 1 8:2 +6 9
19 Leyton Orient 4 3 0 1 6:3 +3 9
20 Fleetwood Town 5 2 2 1 13:8 +5 8
21 Bristol Rovers 5 2 2 1 11:10 +1 8
22 Tranmere Rovers 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
23 Walsall 5 2 1 2 7:7 0 7
24 Cambridge United 4 2 1 1 8:6 +2 7
25 Wycombe Wanderers 4 2 0 2 7:5 +2 6
26 Blackpool 4 2 0 2 10:7 +3 6
27 Exeter City H 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
28 Cardiff City A 4 2 0 2 5:7 -2 6
29 Bradford City 4 2 0 2 8:8 0 6
30 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 +2 6
31 Peterborough United 4 2 0 2 7:7 0 6
32 Chesterfield 4 1 1 2 5:14 -9 4
33 Barnet 3 1 1 1 5:7 -2 4
34 Accrington Stanley 3 1 1 1 5:6 -1 4
35 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 -3 3
36 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 -2 3
37 Grimsby Town 3 1 0 2 6:8 -2 3
38 Burton Albion 3 1 0 2 3:4 -1 3
39 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 -4 3
40 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 -1 3
41 Barnsley 4 1 0 3 6:11 -5 3
42 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
43 Shrewsbury Town 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
44 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 -1 3
45 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 0 3
46 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 -4 3
47 Newport County 3 1 0 2 2:3 -1 3
48 Tottenham U21 3 0 2 1 8:12 -4 2
49 Cheltenham Town 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
50 Liverpool U21 3 0 1 2 2:6 -4 1
51 Nottingham Forest U21 3 0 1 2 3:6 -3 1
52 Wigan Athletic 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
53 Brighton U21 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
54 Newcastle United U21 3 0 1 2 5:11 -6 1
55 Mansfield Town 3 0 1 2 3:6 -3 1
56 Bromley 3 0 1 2 5:7 -2 1
57 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 1 2 6:11 -5 1
58 Chelsea U21 3 0 1 2 1:6 -5 1
59 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 -7 0
60 Leeds United U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 -8 0
61 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 -7 0
62 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 -9 0
63 Oldham Athletic 3 0 0 3 5:14 -9 0
64 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 -5 0

Team Form

Exeter City have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Cardiff City have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Lost 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cardiff City regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Exeter City are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Cardiff City regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Exeter City are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Exeter City have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Cardiff City in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 23 (2.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 19 (1.9 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Exeter City (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Cardiff City (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Exeter City have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Cardiff City win 6+ corners in 70% of away games, generating consistent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Corners Conceded

Exeter City (Home Form) Cardiff City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Exeter City and Cardiff City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24th Jul, 2021
Cardiff City
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Exeter City

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Exeter City vs Cardiff City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Exeter City 4.3
Draw 4.2
Cardiff City 1.89

Half Time Result

Exeter City 4.33
Draw 2.2
Cardiff City 2.25

Double Chance

Exeter City or Draw 1.92
Exeter City or Cardiff City 1.27
Draw or Cardiff City 1.25

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.72
No 2

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.73
Over 3.5 3.05
Under 1.5 4.6
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.47

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.45

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.98
Over 11.5 3.25

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 3.1
Over 2.5 7

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.83
Over 2.5 3.35

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined

Exeter City vs Cardiff City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Cardiff City?

Over 8.5 Corners — Exeter City see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Cardiff City in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Exeter City or Cardiff City?

Cardiff City hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Exeter City at home (10% wins) in EFL Trophy. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Exeter City and Cardiff City?

Possibly — Cardiff City regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Exeter City are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Exeter City and Cardiff City?

Possibly — Cardiff City regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Exeter City are lower at home (50%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Exeter City or Cardiff City?

Cardiff City have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of away games compared to Exeter City's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Exeter City and Cardiff City?

Yes — both Exeter City (90% Over 8.5 at home) and Cardiff City (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in EFL Trophy. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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