Farense vs Paços de Ferreira — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal 2, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 10th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Farense (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Paços de Ferreira on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Farense at 40% at home and Paços de Ferreira at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Farense at 40% at home and Paços de Ferreira at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Farense have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Paços de Ferreira in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Portugal 2 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Farense (14th) and Paços de Ferreira (17th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Marítimo 32 20 6 6 49:25 +24 66
2 Academico Viseu 32 16 7 9 56:33 +23 55
3 Torreense 31 15 5 11 37:30 +7 50
4 União de Leiria 31 13 10 8 50:40 +10 49
5 Vizela 32 13 9 10 38:36 +2 48
6 Feirense 32 12 9 11 34:36 -2 45
7 Leixões 32 13 5 14 42:53 -11 44
8 Benfica II 32 11 11 10 43:40 +3 44
9 Lusitania FC Lourosa 32 11 10 11 42:48 -6 43
10 Chaves 32 12 6 14 38:37 +1 42
11 Porto II 31 12 6 13 37:42 -5 42
12 Sporting CP II 32 13 2 17 41:33 +8 41
13 Felgueiras 1932 31 10 10 11 28:35 -7 40
14 Penafiel 31 10 8 13 33:34 -1 38
15 Farense H 31 9 9 13 27:35 -8 36
16 Portimonense SAD 32 10 6 16 37:48 -11 36
17 Paços de Ferreira A 32 8 11 13 31:46 -15 35
18 UD Oliveirense 32 7 10 15 31:43 -12 31

Team Form

Paços de Ferreira have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Farense have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Farense (40% BTTS at home) and Paços de Ferreira (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Farense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Farense have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Paços de Ferreira in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 7 (0.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Farense (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Paços de Ferreira (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Farense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Paços de Ferreira have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Farense (Home Form) Paços de Ferreira (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Farense vs Paços de Ferreira across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Farense 1.98
Draw 3.37
Paços de Ferreira 3.6

Half Time Result

Farense 2.62
Draw 2.14
Paços de Ferreira 4.5

Double Chance

Farense or Draw 1.25
Farense or Paços de Ferreira 1.33
Draw or Paços de Ferreira 1.77

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85
No 1.85

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.09
Over 3.5 3.71
Under 1.5 3.02
Under 2.5 1.7
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 3.05

Farense Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.26

Paços de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Almería vs Mirandés 19:30 BST | La Liga 2, Spain Almería have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 home matches this season · Mirandés have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    75% combined
  • Spalding United vs Real Bedford 15:00 BST | Non League Premier: Southern Central, England Spalding United have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/22 home matches this season · Real Bedford have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/21 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    74% combined
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Young Lions 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Young Lions have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    72% combined
  • Brighton U21 vs West Ham United U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Brighton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/10 home matches this season · West Ham United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    70% combined

Farense vs Paços de Ferreira Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Farense vs Paços de Ferreira?

Under 3.5 Goals — Farense have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Paços de Ferreira in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Farense or Paços de Ferreira?

Paços de Ferreira hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Farense at home (20% wins) in Liga Portugal 2. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Farense and Paços de Ferreira?

Unlikely — Farense (40% BTTS at home) and Paços de Ferreira (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Portugal 2. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Farense and Paços de Ferreira?

Uncertain — Farense have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 40% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Farense or Paços de Ferreira?

Paços de Ferreira have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Farense's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Farense and Paços de Ferreira?

Farense have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Paços de Ferreira in 60% of away games in Liga Portugal 2. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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