Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 4th October, 22:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Fluminense to Win

Fluminense sit 8th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Atlético Mineiro are 14th after 20 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. The home record backs Fluminense strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Atlético Mineiro have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Fluminense have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home.

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Fluminense see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Fluminense to Win — Fluminense have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Atlético Mineiro have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Fluminense (8th) and Atlético Mineiro (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense H 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro A 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Fluminense have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Atlético Mineiro's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Atlético Mineiro are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Fluminense have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Atlético Mineiro in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Fluminense have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Fluminense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) Atlético Mineiro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11th May, 2025
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 10–0 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Sep, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 6–1 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Sep, 2024
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 7–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Aug, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Fluminense
Corners 5–2 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
4th May, 2024
Fluminense
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 4–10 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Oct, 2023
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 9–4 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22nd Jun, 2023
Fluminense
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 3–5 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Oct, 2022
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Fluminense
Corners 10–1 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jun, 2022
Fluminense
5 – 3 HT: 3-2
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 1–9 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Nov, 2021
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Fluminense
Corners 7–3 Cards 6–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fluminense 2
Draw 2.9
Atlético Mineiro 4.54

Half Time Result

Fluminense 2.78
Draw 2.03
Atlético Mineiro 5.37

Double Chance

Fluminense or Draw 1.24
Fluminense or Atlético Mineiro 1.36
Draw or Atlético Mineiro 1.88

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.3
No 1.61

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.55
Over 2.5 2.75
Over 3.5 4.8
Under 1.5 2.7
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.17

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.58
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36
Over 9.5 1.61
Over 10.5 2.33
Over 11.5 3.4

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.55
Over 2.5 4.7

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.75
Over 1.5 4.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Atlético Mineiro?

Fluminense to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético Mineiro have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Fluminense or Atlético Mineiro?

Fluminense hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Atlético Mineiro have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Atlético Mineiro are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fluminense or Atlético Mineiro?

Atlético Mineiro have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Fluminense's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fluminense and Atlético Mineiro?

Fluminense have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Atlético Mineiro in 50% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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