Fluminense vs Grêmio Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 28th January, 00:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Fluminense sit 6th in the table, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. Grêmio are 9th, averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Fluminense have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Grêmio side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Fluminense have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home.

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Fluminense see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Grêmio in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Fluminense at 90% BTTS in home games and Grêmio at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Fluminense (6th) and Grêmio (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 17 11 5 1 29:13 +16 38
2 Flamengo 16 9 4 3 28:16 +12 31
3 Fluminense H 17 9 3 5 27:22 +5 30
4 Athletico PR 17 8 3 6 23:18 +5 27
5 Bragantino 17 8 2 7 22:18 +4 26
6 Coritiba 17 7 5 5 24:21 +3 26
7 São Paulo 17 7 4 6 23:19 +4 25
8 Cruzeiro 17 6 5 6 23:27 -4 23
9 Bahia 16 6 5 5 23:22 +1 23
10 Vitória 16 6 4 6 20:22 -2 22
11 Botafogo 16 6 4 6 30:29 +1 22
12 Corinthians 17 5 6 6 15:18 -3 21
13 Atlético Mineiro 17 6 3 8 21:23 -2 21
14 Grêmio A 17 5 6 6 19:20 -1 21
15 Internacional 17 5 6 6 20:19 +1 21
16 Vasco da Gama 17 5 5 7 22:28 -6 20
17 Santos 17 4 6 7 23:28 -5 18
18 Mirassol 16 4 4 8 18:23 -5 16
19 Remo 17 3 6 8 20:29 -9 15
20 Chapecoense 16 1 6 9 17:32 -15 9

Team Form

Fluminense have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Grêmio's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Grêmio are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Fluminense have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Grêmio in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Fluminense have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Grêmio in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Fluminense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Grêmio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fluminense and Grêmio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Dec 2025
Grêmio
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Fluminense
03 Aug 2025
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
02 Nov 2024
Fluminense
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
20 Aug 2024
Fluminense
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Grêmio
13 Aug 2024
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
30 Jun 2024
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
07 Dec 2023
Fluminense
2 – 3 HT: 1-2
Grêmio
13 Aug 2023
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Fluminense
10 Nov 2021
Grêmio
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
18 Jul 2021
Fluminense
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fluminense vs Grêmio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fluminense 1.63
Draw 4.1
Grêmio 6.8

Half Time Result

Fluminense 2.2
Draw 2.33
Grêmio 5.7

Double Chance

Fluminense or Draw 1.15
Fluminense or Grêmio 1.27
Draw or Grêmio 2.25

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.08
No 1.79

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 2.1
Over 3.5 3.9
Under 1.5 3.47
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 3.5 1.33

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.39
Over 1.5 2.77

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 1.66
Over 11.5 2.04

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.81

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.63
Over 1.5 4.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nõmme United vs Flora 17:00 BST | Meistriliiga, Estonia Nõmme United have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Flora have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Mt Druitt Town 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Mt Druitt Town have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    82% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Manningham United Blues 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · Manningham United Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    79% combined
  • Nepean vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Nepean have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    74% combined

Fluminense vs Grêmio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Grêmio?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Fluminense at 90% BTTS at home and Grêmio at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Fluminense or Grêmio?

Fluminense hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Grêmio have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Fluminense and Grêmio?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fluminense and Grêmio?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fluminense or Grêmio?

Grêmio have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Fluminense's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fluminense and Grêmio?

Fluminense have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Grêmio in 50% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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