Fluminense vs São Paulo

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 00:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

Fluminense sit 3rd in the table after 12 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. São Paulo are 4th after 12 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Fluminense have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; São Paulo have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Fluminense have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). São Paulo are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home.

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (80%, 8/10). São Paulo are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

São Paulo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Fluminense are lower at home (20%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Fluminense (3rd) and São Paulo (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 15 10 4 1 25:12 +13 34
2 Flamengo 14 9 3 2 27:12 +15 30
3 Fluminense H 15 8 3 4 25:20 +5 27
4 São Paulo A 15 7 3 5 21:16 +5 24
5 Athletico PR 15 7 2 6 20:16 +4 23
6 Bahia 14 6 4 4 20:18 +2 22
7 Vasco da Gama 15 5 5 5 21:21 0 20
8 Bragantino 15 6 2 7 17:18 -1 20
9 Coritiba 15 5 5 5 18:19 -1 20
10 Cruzeiro 15 5 4 6 20:25 -5 19
11 Vitória 14 5 4 5 18:20 -2 19
12 Botafogo 14 5 3 6 26:27 -1 18
13 Corinthians 15 4 6 5 13:15 -2 18
14 Atlético Mineiro 15 5 3 7 18:21 -3 18
15 Internacional 15 4 6 5 16:16 0 18
16 Santos 15 4 6 5 21:22 -1 18
17 Grêmio 15 4 5 6 15:17 -2 17
18 Mirassol 14 3 4 7 16:20 -4 13
19 Remo 15 2 6 7 16:25 -9 12
20 Chapecoense 14 1 6 7 14:27 -13 9

Team Form

São Paulo have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Fluminense have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while São Paulo are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while São Paulo are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Fluminense have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Fluminense are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Fluminense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fluminense and São Paulo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27 Nov 2025
Fluminense
6 – 0 HT: 3-0
São Paulo
27 Jul 2025
São Paulo
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fluminense
01 Sep 2024
Fluminense
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
13 May 2024
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Fluminense
23 Nov 2023
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
01 Jul 2023
São Paulo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
05 Nov 2022
Fluminense
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
17 Jul 2022
São Paulo
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Fluminense
12 Sep 2021
Fluminense
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
30 May 2021
São Paulo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fluminense vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fluminense 1.85
Draw 3.3
São Paulo 4.1

Half Time Result

Fluminense 2.5
Draw 2.12
São Paulo 4.6

Double Chance

Fluminense or Draw 1.23
Fluminense or São Paulo 1.31
Draw or São Paulo 1.87

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 2.5 1.8
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.14

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.2
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.62
Over 11.5 2

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.07

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.49
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Luzern vs Zürich 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Luzern have seen over 2.5 goals in 17/18 home matches this season · Zürich have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
  • Inchicore Athletic vs Killester Donnycarney 20:00 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Inchicore Athletic have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    82% combined
  • Grasshopper vs Winterthur 19:30 BST | Super League, Switzerland Grasshopper have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/18 home matches this season · Winterthur have seen over 2.5 goals in 16/18 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    75% combined
  • Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin 16:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 3, Poland Zagłębie Lubin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/15 home matches this season · Carina Gubin have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Fluminense vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs São Paulo?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Fluminense or São Paulo?

Fluminense have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over São Paulo on the road (20% wins) in Serie A. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Fluminense and São Paulo?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (80%), while São Paulo are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fluminense and São Paulo?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while São Paulo are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fluminense or São Paulo?

Fluminense have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fluminense and São Paulo?

Possibly — São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Fluminense are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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Santos vs Coritiba

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Botafogo vs Corinthians

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Bragantino vs Vitória

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🕒 Sunday 17th May, 22:30 BST

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