Fluminense vs São Paulo Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Thursday 27th November, 23:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Fluminense to Win

Fluminense sit 7th in the table after 32 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per home match this season. São Paulo are 8th after 32 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The home record backs Fluminense strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Fluminense have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 90% of their home fixtures (9/10). São Paulo are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home.

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%, 9/10). São Paulo are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 60% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

São Paulo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Fluminense are lower at home (20%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Fluminense to Win — Fluminense have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Fluminense (7th) and São Paulo (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense H 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo A 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Fluminense have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to São Paulo's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while São Paulo are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 90%), while São Paulo are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Fluminense have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 19 (1.9 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Fluminense are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Fluminense have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Fluminense (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fluminense and São Paulo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

27th Jul, 2025
São Paulo
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Fluminense
Corners 7–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Sep, 2024
Fluminense
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
São Paulo
Corners 5–4 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th May, 2024
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Fluminense
Corners 7–4 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Nov, 2023
Fluminense
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 3–4 Cards 4–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Jul, 2023
São Paulo
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 12–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Nov, 2022
Fluminense
3 – 1 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
Corners 8–3 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Jul, 2022
São Paulo
2 – 2 HT: 2-1
Fluminense
Corners 5–3 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Sep, 2021
Fluminense
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 4–5 Cards 5–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th May, 2021
São Paulo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fluminense
Corners 4–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Dec, 2020
Fluminense
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
Corners 0–2 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fluminense vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fluminense 1.55
Draw 4.2
São Paulo 8.2

Half Time Result

Fluminense 2.25
Draw 2.1
São Paulo 6.5

Double Chance

Fluminense or Draw 1.12
Fluminense or São Paulo 1.3
Draw or São Paulo 2.56

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.34
No 1.7

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.41
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 3.5 4.04
Under 1.5 3.4
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.08

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.62
Over 10.5 2.25
Over 11.5 2.55

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.5 1.84

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.92
Over 1.5 5.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Fluminense vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs São Paulo?

Fluminense to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while São Paulo have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Fluminense or São Paulo?

Fluminense hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while São Paulo have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Fluminense and São Paulo?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently see both teams score at home (90%), while São Paulo are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fluminense and São Paulo?

Possibly — Fluminense frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 90%), while São Paulo are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fluminense or São Paulo?

Fluminense have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fluminense and São Paulo?

Possibly — São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Fluminense are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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