Fortaleza vs Grêmio Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 9th November, 23:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Fortaleza sit 19th in the table after 28 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Grêmio are 14th after 29 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. Fortaleza have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Grêmio side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Fortaleza have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (40%, 4/10), averaging 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home.

Fortaleza frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Grêmio are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Fortaleza see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Grêmio in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Fortaleza have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Grêmio in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Fortaleza (19th) and Grêmio (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio A 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza H 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Fortaleza have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Grêmio's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Fortaleza frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Grêmio are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Fortaleza frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Fortaleza have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Grêmio in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Fortaleza have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Grêmio in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Fortaleza have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Grêmio have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Fortaleza (Home Form) Grêmio (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Fortaleza and Grêmio. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Jul, 2025
Grêmio
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Fortaleza
Corners 2–5 Cards 3–6 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Oct, 2024
Grêmio
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Fortaleza
Corners 10–2 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Jun, 2024
Fortaleza
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
Corners 8–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30th Sep, 2023
Fortaleza
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Grêmio
Corners 3–7 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th May, 2023
Grêmio
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fortaleza
Corners 9–5 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Oct, 2021
Fortaleza
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 10–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jun, 2021
Grêmio
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Fortaleza
Corners 10–5 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10th Jan, 2021
Fortaleza
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 4–5 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Sep, 2020
Grêmio
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Fortaleza
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Oct, 2019
Fortaleza
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Grêmio
Corners 1–8 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Fortaleza vs Grêmio across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Fortaleza 2.06
Draw 3.5
Grêmio 4.1

Half Time Result

Fortaleza 2.63
Draw 2.29
Grêmio 4.54

Double Chance

Fortaleza or Draw 1.28
Fortaleza or Grêmio 1.34
Draw or Grêmio 1.86

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.94
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 2.19
Over 3.5 4.12
Under 1.5 3.5
Under 2.5 1.8
Under 3.5 1.31

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 1.66
Over 11.5 2.04

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.13

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.28

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Fortaleza vs Grêmio Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Fortaleza vs Grêmio?

Under 3.5 Goals — Fortaleza have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Grêmio in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Fortaleza or Grêmio?

Fortaleza hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Serie A this season, while Grêmio have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Fortaleza and Grêmio?

Possibly — Fortaleza frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Fortaleza and Grêmio?

Possibly — Fortaleza frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Grêmio are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Fortaleza or Grêmio?

Fortaleza have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Grêmio's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Fortaleza and Grêmio?

Fortaleza have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 20% of home games, Grêmio in 50% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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